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Conference Title Predictions
September 1, 2006 | By Benjamin Miraski
With the opening kick-off of Boston College and Central Michigan last night, the college football season has officially begun. With that, it is time for me to weigh in with my picks for the season.
Last year, I wasn't quite correct about the National Title game, although I still claim that a certain Katrina had something to do with that. The two teams I wanted to play still did, only it was in the Peach Bowl, and the game wasn't as great as I thought it would be. All fans across the country were still treated to an awesome final game between Texas and USC. While Mack Brown got to hoist the trophy last season, this year will most likely not lead to a repeat after having lost his star quarterback, Vince Young.
We should have a new champion come January, and I am going on the record with my picks for who should be in the running for the ADT Trophy at the end of the season.
ACC Atlantic Division: Florida State - The Seminoles are the trendy pick for the ACC title, and for good reason. They managed to pull a shocker last year and make it to the BCS bowls, and all of the talent from that team is back. Look for the Noles to be in the National Title hunt all season.
ACC Coastal Division: Miami - The Hurricanes ended their season very poorly against LSU last year. However, this year is not last year. Kyle Wright should be more consistent and ready to go. Unfortunately for the Canes, they are missing their top running back Tyrone Moss for the first game of the year against Florida State, and that may cost them National Title hopes.
ACC Champ: Miami - I think the addition of Moss for the championship game will have Miami heading to the BCS bowls. The match-up between Florida State and Miami will be something to watch. It is entirely possible that Florida State gets to this game undefeated. That may be enough to have two ACC teams in the final 8.
Big East: Louisville - The Cardinals have consistently been on the verge. They lost to Miami two years ago which kept them from making history back then. Last year, two losses, including a three overtime loss to West Virginia, kept them away from the big bowls. Brian Brohm and Michael Bush should provide enough offense for them to go to the top this season. They also have 7 starters back on defense. All those thinking West Virginia has an easy road to the top better look a little bit South for the true champ.
Big Ten: Michigan - You would think I would have learned by now. Each season, I take Michigan and each year, they fail to live up to it. Well, I am going with it again, and a healthy season from Chad Henne and Michael Hart should make sure that I am correct this year. I think the loss of too much defense for Ohio State could be their undoing, especially against this offense. Look for Michigan to be in the Rose Bowl this year.
Big XII North: Nebraska - Anyone who watched the Cornhuskers beat Michigan last season in the Alamo bowl knows that Bill Callahan's team may have finally taken to the West Coast Offense. They return 15 starters overall and should be the class of the North. Of course, this division has been tough to call over the last three seasons.
Big XII South: Oklahoma - Prior to the dismissal of Rhett Bomar and JD Quinn, Oklahoma was my National Title winner. They are still dangerous, even with Paul Thompson at quarterback. The reason - Adrian Peterson. Thompson will have to show improvement over last season's opening games when he struggled and teams were able to concentrate on Peterson. Oklahoma's defense returns nine of their starters and with Texas rotating signal callers, it should be their division.
Big XII Champ: Nebraska - Maybe I am drinking the red Kool-aid, but I think this is the year for Nebraska. And this would be a renewal of one of the best rivalries in all of college football.
Conference USA champ: Central Florida - The turnaround job that George O'Leary has done in Miami is amazing. From 0-11 to a bowl game in one season, and almost a conference championship is something to be proud of. This is the year that O'Leary gets Central Florida over the top and to the championship. They defeat UTEP in the championship game.
MAC Champ: Northern Illinois - They may not beat Ohio State to open the season, but the Huskies are becoming an perennial power in the MAC. They should be able to beat Akron in the championship game and get to another bowl game
Mountain West: TCU - Everyone thinks that the Horned Frogs can be a BCS party buster this season. I am not too sure about that, but the Mountain West should be an easy run for TCU. They have senior leadership in the backfield and should be able to build on last year's amazing run. The season could come down to whether they can beat Utah on the road in early October.
Pac-10: Cal - Just a reminder, USC lost Matt Leinart, Reggie Bush, and LenDale White. I think a lot of people have forgotten this. While they still have one of the best receiving corps in the game, they are missing the entire starting backfield from last year, and that should lead to a drop off. It won't be far, but it should still be there. That means Marshawn Lynch and Cal should be able to finally take the title this season. In fact, I think Cal could be all the way to the championship game this season. A road test against Tennessee early will be tough, but the Bears will be able to overcome the challenge. Look for USC to possibly still be in the BCS party, taking on Michigan in the Rose Bowl.
SEC East: Florida - For more info on why I think Florida...
SEC West: Arkansas - This has been called my one crazy pick for the year. Of course, that was by someone who hasn't seen my other picks. For more info on why I think Arkansas...
SEC Champ: Florida - Urban Meyer works his magic and Florida is into the BCS. Despite getting to the championship game, I am not sure Arkansas will be able to get the BCS numbers to break in. Look for Auburn to get some BCS love.
SunBelt Champ: Louisiana-Lafayette - Does it really matter? They get a nice trip to New Orleans for their troubles, and a few hundred thousand dollars for getting beat up by LSU, Texas A&M, and Houston.
WAC Champ: Fresno State - All signs point for Boise State to returning to glory this season and last night, they held Sacramento State to only 82 yards. However, I am going with Fresno State to take the championship this season. Paul Pinegar may be gone, but they still have a very good defense. Despite crashing after last season's defeat by USC, Fresno State should have the talent and the drive to take the title again.
With the champions chosen, that leaves only Bowl Predictions, so here is what the BCS Bowls should look like this season.
Fiesta Bowl: Nebraska vs. Ohio State
Orange Bowl: Louisville vs. Florida State
Sugar Bowl: Florida vs. Notre Dame
Rose Bowl: USC vs. Michigan
BCS Championship Game: Cal vs. Miami - Yep, I am taking Miami to make it to the title game again, which most likely means that they will be playing in the Peach Bowl for a second straight year. There is no good way to predict what will happen here. I am fairly sure on Cal making the title game, but the second place team is tough. I debated selecting Florida for the spot, but I wasn't sure that they would get the votes in the polls. Miami is a poll darling, and that should be enough. If you are asking why not Notre Dame, I just think the schedule is too difficult for them to get to the final game of the year with anything less than 2 losses. Two losses will definitely not get them into the championship game, but it should get them a BCS berth.
As for a champion, I can't call it. I don't want to mimic some of the other analysts who seem to think that Cal will take it all this season. I can't be that confident, but I also am not sure that Miami will be able to beat the offensive power of Cal. So, for now, let's call for an overtime game and it will come down to a kicker. It seems only appropriate for a game involving a school from Florida.
Ben Miraski writes for MRISports.com and is a featured blogger on FanIQ. Readers can contact Ben at bmiraski@mrisports.com
Posted September 1, 2006 12:00 PM
