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5 Things - 11/29/06
November 29, 2006 | By Benjamin Miraski
Last night was the slighty delayed real start of the ACC-Big Ten Challenge. After North Carolina State came back on Michigan, and then held them off on Monday night, the real action got started. A lot of close games later and one slight blow out, and the ACC has a 4-2 lead in the contest, meaning they are well on their way to their 8th win in the series.
At the Indiana-Duke game last night, some creative Blue Devil fans painted their stomachs with "ACC>Big 10". Creative, though not as daring as when you are outside doing the same thing in 30 degree weather at a football game. Still in honor of the Duke students, we celebrate today's 5 things with a look at inequalities:
- #1: ACC>Big 10, but only slightly - I thought I would start with the one that everyone will be thinking of. There are still 5 games to play, but you could almost make the case that the ACC is favored in all of them. And even if they aren't, the close games are all on the ACC home court, which should make things better for them. The margin between the conferences is closing. When this contest first started, there was no challenge for the ACC. Now, other than Wisconsin taking out Florida State by 15, every other game was less than a 10 point victory. The sum total of the scores gives a +3 point advantage to the ACC. That is down from a +21 margin in the first year. Tonight's games should be just as exciting as last night, and I look forward to the Ohio State - UNC game as the capper.
- #2: Auburn > Nicholls State - Going into last night's games, Nicholls State was the worst team in the MRI. Auburn, though, needed overtime to squeak out a five point win. This doesn't say much for Auburn's chances of finishing in the top half of the SEC this season.
- #3: Florida >> Southern - I don't think it was too much of a surprise that Florida won its game against Southern University. What was shocking was the score: 83-27! Southern was able to get double digits in both halves but this was a rout that we normally only see in women's basketball. The Gators put up 83 without Corey Brewer who is out indefinitely with mono. I had mono last year. It isn't fun. It could be a while before we see him again at top form. Just how bad was it for Southern? The leading scorer on the Gators was Marreese Speights, with 12 points. Speights is usually lucky to see the court for double digit minutes and yet turned in a double double against the Jaguars, who are now 0-6.
- #4: UMass > Savannah State - Massachusetts is not what it was when John Calipari was the coach there. And there will never be a greater post game show than when they played Temple and John Chaney came barging in after Calipari. However, they had no trouble with lowly Savannah State on Tuesday. Savannah State pumped up their record by playing a number of non-D-I teams to start the season. They even got two wins against D-I teams. Things however are reverting back to form for the Tigers. They have dropped four straight including last night, and are headed back down the MRI towards the bottom ranks. The good news for them at this point? They still have a positive MRI score.
- #5: Furman > Vanderbilt?? - Trust me, I didn't believe it either. But prior to last night's games, I was entering the MRI's picks on FanIQ, and that is what I saw. Furman was going to beat Vandy according to the bucket of chips in front of me. It was only a 51.48% chance, but it was better than half. And Furman did just that, beating Vanderbilt in Vandy. Honestly, this is the only one of five games in that 50-50 range that the computer has gotten correct over the first two days of tracking performance. However, that was sure one to get right. And obviously, at 50-50, that was not the biggest upset of the year in the computer's eyes. That belongs to Md.-Eastern Shore, who defeated Stony Brook at Stony Brook last night, 64-58. The computer is off to a 73.42% start this season, which is better than its lifetime average of 72%
That's it for 5 Things. If you have any tips from the day of basketball, be sure to send them on.
Ben Miraski writes for MRISports.com and is a featured blogger on FanIQ. Readers can contact Ben at bmiraski@mrisports.com
Posted November 29, 2006 12:00 PM
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