First, you need to look at who can win the conference championships:

ACC: Georgia Tech, Wake Forest
Big East: Louisville, Rutgers
Big 12: Nebraska, Oklahoma
SEC: Arkansas, Florida

Earlier in the week, the BCS bowls announced who was still in contention for at large bid consideration:

Auburn, Boise State, California, LSU, Michigan, Notre Dame, Virginia Tech

Those announcements were prior to this week's games. I don't think that any of those teams did anything this week to knock them off that list. In addition, I don't think that West Virginia or Texas would be considered at this point after their losses this weekend, so I am not adding them to the list.

Second, you have to know the bowl selection order. The Rose Bowl, which will lose Ohio State, will have a replacement selection first. If USC is the #2 team, the Rose Bowl will get two selections to start and essentially get whoever they want in Pasadena. The second selection is the Sugar Bowl, followed by the Orange, and the Fiesta.

Third, you have to assume something about the losers of the championship games. I don't think the ACC is going to get their loser into the mix based on the perceived strength of the conference. Virginia Tech probably has the second worst at-large chance right now and if they aren't close, given the way they have played lately, a losing Georgia Tech or Wake Forest isn't going to get a long look. The Big XII loser will have at least three losses. I think Oklahoma will still get a long look based on the knowledge that one of those losses was to Oregon thanks to replay. However, losing to Nebraska wouldn't help their cause. Nebraska would have no shot to be selected. In the SEC, Florida would still be looked at for an at-large bid should they lose, but Arkansas probably took themselves out of contention for that because of their loss to LSU.

So with those assumptions, here is how I see the BCS bowls shaking out.

National Championship: Ohio State vs. USC - After USC's win, this is a gimmee. Unless UCLA pulls a major upset, then I don't see this changing. USC should be moving into the #2 spot overall in the BCS when the ratings are released, and they will not fall unless they lose that last game.

Rose Bowl: Michigan vs. Notre Dame - I will hate to see the rematch, but I bet it happens. The Rose Bowl would get two replacement picks as soon as the National Championship game is set. There is no doubt they would take Michigan, and the flashiest school they would be allowed to pick would be Notre Dame. Notre Dame would be returning to the Rose Bowl (Yes, returning. It wasn't obligated to pick Big Ten - USC until the 40s. Even Duke played in the Rose Bowl twice) for the first time since the 20s. I don't think they could say no to that scenario, knowing how big a rivalry this is and how many fans would travel for that game.

Sugar Bowl: Florida vs. Louisville - The Sugar Bowl gets first pick after the Rose "replacement" picks. Let's assume that Florida wins the SEC championship game. I am guessing the bowl doesn't want a rematch of two SEC teams, and therefore will take the Big East champion, which now looks like it might be Louisville. If Rutgers wins the Big East, I am guessing they may still take Louisville as they will see it as a better choice than Rutgers. In that case, LSU will lose a BCS spot. There is still always the possibility, that there will be some wrangling and ND will get moved here by all the bowl operators to play Florida and that an LSU would still be alive for chance in the Rose Bowl. I think it will be hard to pry Notre Dame out of the Rose Bowl's talons though.

Orange Bowl: Georgia Tech vs. LSU - Despite Reggie Ball's play against Georgia, I am going to say that Georgia Tech takes out Wake Forest. The Orange Bowl gets the second pick to fill their bowl. I am going to say they pass over Boise State. No one wants to be the bowl that has to take them, and since the Rose will most likely take Notre Dame, the Orange loses what I think would be their first choice. It kind of stinks for Notre Dame that every big bowl would try to place them against a team they already have played. I am thinking that the Orange will take a chance on LSU assuming they can. If Louisville wins the Big East, this is LSU. If Rutgers wins the Big East, the Scarlet Knights come to town.

Fiesta Bowl: Oklahoma vs. Boise State - Every time a non-auto qualifier makes it, it seems that the Fiesta Bowl gets stuck with them. Last time was Utah, and they destroyed Pittsburgh. This time it is Boise State, and this would actually be a very interesting game between Oklahoma and Boise. I like the match-up and it is closer to Idaho so potentially you will see more Boise fans being able to make the trip. I am still a little leery of picking Oklahoma to win the Big XII championship game. It could be Nebraska. In which case, I somewhat feel bad for the Fiesta Bowl, although it would mean great things for the Nebraska program.

Ben Miraski writes for MRISports.com and is a featured blogger on FanIQ. Readers can contact Ben at bmiraski@mrisports.com