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December 28, 2006
2006 Bowl Predictions - Part 4
Things we have learned this Bowl Season so far: Florida State does have an offense, there are too many bowl games, Colt Brennan can really really throw the ball, there are too many bowl games, BYU was overlooked by too many people this year, and did I mention there were too many bowl games?
The bowl season thunders on. By the end of the day though, we will have only scratched the surface still. There will be 12 bowl games complete, with 20 more to go. That also means that I am way behind on the bowl previews. So for your reading pleasure, some more 1 minute analysis on each game upcoming.
Music City Bowl
Clemson was the trendy pick at the start of the year to win the ACC crown. For a while it looked like they might until they stumbled badly down the home stretch. Kentucky was, in contrast, left for dead in the SEC East, but managed to do nicely, getting back to a bowl game for the first time since 1999 and will be looking for their first bowl win since 1984. The Clemson offense features a strong rushing attack of CJ Spiller and James Davis which should be of great use against a very soft Kentucky defense. If the two don't combine for 200 yards in the game, it will be a miracle. Kentucky's quarterback Andre Woodson will have his hands full with the Clemson defense including Gaines Adams on the defensive line. The only hope for Kentucky may be winning the turnover battle, and winning it big. Clemson should be able to overcome a few mistakes and take this one home.
MRI Predicts: Clemson Confidence factor: 76.58%, 29 out of 32
Sun Bowl
CBS draws the But Sun Bowl each year, and it will be interesting to see if what seems like the only two HD cameras that the station has can make it to El Paso for the game. Oregon State has had one roller coaster of a year. They were left for dead after being stomped by Boise State and Cal. And yet, they managed to turn it around and beat what was an undefeated USC team. They closed the season winning seven of their last 8 to get to 9-4 entering the bowl. Missouri's season has gone the other direction. After opening 6-0, they managed only two wins the rest of the way, making what was one of the great stories of the year, another ho hum event. Both offenses should be able to move the ball against the other, but Missouri will need a big, and clean, game from quarterback Chase Daniel if they are going to take this one. Neither team is going to be flashy, but they will get it done. Rumor is that Missouri has a flu bug running through it right now, which could give the slight edge to Oregon State in this one. The computer likes the Tigers, but this is one where I disagree.
MRI Predicts: Missouri Confidence factor: 71.60%, 13 out of 32
Liberty Bowl
South Carolina was supposed to be my team this year (after Arkansas, who I will still take all the props I can get for picking them to win the SEC West). I thought Steve Spurrier finally had this one figured out, putting together an offense to complement his very good defense. Blake Mitchell definitely looked at the end of last season like he was the quarterback that was going to do that, after he learned the Spurrier system better. That didn't happen. South Carolina stumbles into the Liberty Bowl, still without the dominant offense everyone was expecting, although the defense played well throughout the season. They take on Houston, who has no offensive problems at all. The Cougars, champions of Conference USA, put up 455 yards of offense per game, which was the 6th best number in the country. They rely not only on the arm of Kevin Kolb who got some early talk for the Heisman trophy, but also the dual headed running attack of Anthony Alridge and Jackie Battle. That offense will definitely be tested against the Gamecock defense, although if the running game can get going, that will sure help Kolb's time in the pocket. Look for some offense to come in this one, and hopefully not a one-sided affair.
MRI Predicts: Houston Confidence factor: 77.44%, 21 out of 32
Insight Bowl
Minnesota almost lost to North Dakota State. Yes, the team that is giving the state of Wisconsin fits in basketball almost beat Minnesota in Minnesota. The Gophers have given up over 3000 yards through the air this year, which is not good when you consider that Texas Tech features an almost entirely air-based attack. Graham Harrell had over 4000 yards passing this year and threw for 36 touchdowns. Don't expect that to slow down any when the Red Raiders take the field in Tempe. Minnesota's only hope is to somehow turn their +16 turnover number to work for them and get something, anything, moving on the ground. It won't be easy, but it is possible especially late in the game if the Gophers can keep it close.
MRI Predicts: Texas Tech Confidence factor: 55.02%, 6 out of 32
Champs Sports Bowl
I said earlier this season that I thought that Maryland was the most overrated 8 win team in the country. Then they started losing and proving me correct. Purdue was never overrated and still won 8 of their 13 games. So, the night ends in Orlando with two teams who both won eight games and didn't impress anyone in the country. Should be a fun one to watch. Maryland barely has an offense to speak of, and that should be good news for Purdue who barely has what you could call a defense to put on the field. Anthony Spencer is the best of the bunch on the Purdue defense and should be the primary focus of containment for the Maryland offensive line. Don't look for too much excitement here folks. The computer give Purdue a slight edge here in what is the second closest game on paper in the bowl season. If I could make this one at all exciting I would try... Well, it is in Orlando... Maybe Mickey Mouse will show up.
MRI Predicts: Purdue Confidence factor: 55.02%, 2 out of 32
Ben Miraski writes for MRISports.com and is a featured blogger on FanIQ. Readers can contact Ben at bmiraski@mrisports.com
Posted by bmiraski at December 28, 2006 3:45 PM
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