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December 29, 2006
2006 Bowl Predictions - Part 5
Four More Bowls! Four More Bowls! That's right, there are four more bowls after today before the ball drops and we say hello to 2007. Don't fret though. Over a third of the bowl season is yet to come once we hit next year. That is kind of sad when you think about it.
There used to be meaning to getting to play on New Year's Day or after. Now it seems that the bowls don't really start rolling until you get to New Year's Day. And you get to watch teams like Western Michigan, and Southern Mississippi, and Ohio yet.
But more on those games next time. For now, let's take a look at the final four bowls of 2006 before moving into next year's over the weekend.
Meineke Car Care Bowl
Navy accepted their bid early, prior to even getting to six wins. They were guaranteed a spot here and they draw Boston College which should make this one of the more interesting bowl games of the year that doesn't have the letters BCS attached to it. It is no secret that Navy runs the ball, a lot. They average over 300 yards on the ground a game. This will test the Boston College defense which has been very good this season at stopping the run, averaging less than 100 yards surrendered per game. Of course, the Navy triple option isn't like any rushing attach that BC has seen all year. It will be interesting to see if Navy can manage to stretch out that Golden Eagle defense and wear them down. For it's part, Navy will have a hard time dealing with the more athletic offense of BC. Matt Ryan has been consistent all year long at quarterback and should be able to find ways to pick apart the Midshipmen defense. Navy has a chance should they be able to wear down the BC defense, but don't expect points to come easily to the Midshipmen.
MRI Predicts: Boston College Confidence factor: 77.44%, 20 out of 32
Alamo Bowl
We all know Colt McCoy now. He has definitely proven that he can take over for Vince Young, and it won't be long before Texas is challenging again for the National Title. They may have had their chance this year had McCoy not gotten hurt against Kansas State, and then, still hobbled by the first injury, gotten hurt again against Texas A&M. The Longhorns lost those final two games to miss a shot at the Big XII title, but now with almost a month to recover, McCoy should be ready for the bowl game. He better be at least, because his backup, Jevan Snead, has decided to transfer and won't be available. With all the weapons on offense for the Longhorns (Limas Sweed, Jamaal Charles, Selvin Young, et al), Iowa's defense will be severely tested, especially with the loss of linebacker Mike Klinkenborg for the game. Injuries have plagued Iowa all season long and they have struggled to get a consistent offense together. That will make it even more difficult against what is a very good Texas defense, even if in general, the squad is down from last season. Defensive backs Aaron Ross and Michael Griffin will be put to the test by Hawkeye quarterback Drew Tate, but should come away with at least one interception on the day, probably a three-pack. Texas is the much better team this season and they should be able to walk away easily with this one, especially with the game in Texas.
MRI Predicts: Texas Confidence factor: 95.42%, 32 out of 32
Chick-Fil-A Bowl
If you are cheating and looking ahead to the pick, you might be surprised at how close this one looks by the MRI numbers. Part of that is giving Georgia the benefit of the doubt for playing in Atlanta with this one. Of course, I have seen Virginia Tech play in Atlanta before, and they are not going to be intimidated by a few fans from the various Peachtree roadways in the area. There is very little to intimidate them on the field either. The Georgia offense has struggled hugely this season, mostly because of the loss of a string of quarterbacks with a great deal more experience for the Bulldogs. Virginia Tech, meanwhile, has one of the best defenses in the country and shouldn't have any trouble stopping Matt Stafford, Kregg Lumpkin, and the rest of the Georgia offense. By the end of the season, Virginia Tech was playing the best football in the ACC, and if it hadn't been for two early losses in conference, they would be playing in the Orange Bowl a little later on this bowl season. Sean Glennon isn't a flashy QB with the last name of Vick, but he should be able to do enough with the help of fabulous sophomore Branden Ore at running back to make some waves in this game. This one might be over early with the Hokies just needed to hold on with defense to clinch the win. As a side bet, the over/under on blocked kicks in this one should be around 2.5.
MRI Predicts: Virginia Tech Confidence factor: 53.01%, 7 out of 32
MPC Computers Bowl
From what is probably the best team in the ACC right now to the team that probably needs the most help right now. The Miami Hurricanes enter their bowl game with a lot of issues to solve over the winter and spring before next year. They recently hired their defensive coordinator Randy Shannon as the head coach to replace Larry Coker who will be leaving after the bowl game. Shannon's first order of business will be to find someone who can revive what has been a pitiful offense for the Hurricanes. It is pretty bad when you only give up only 15 points per game but can't win more than six of them. The Nevada defense isn't the strongest unit in the country but can apply some pressure and will take the ball away, finishing +13 in turnover margin. Holding onto the ball has been a trouble spot for Miami, and that could be a major factor in this game. For Nevada, they will likely have to concentrate on passing the ball as Miami has one of the best front seven in the nation. Quarterback Jeff Rowe probably won't be used to all of the weight on his shoulders, but being one of the veterans on the Wolfpack offense should help him. Assuming that Nevada can get anything going with the run game should help out the passing attack. This one is a tough call as with Shannon still on the sideline next year, the Miami players can't take this one off. And the game is in WAC country at Boise State, and Nevada is used to playing there. Miami fans might not travel as well either because no one wants to go to Boise in the middle of December when you live in South Florida. The computer gives this one to the Wolfpack and I think that is probably the safe bet, but I won't be surprised if Miami can put one together for their outgoing coach.
MRI Predicts: Nevada Confidence factor: 71.60%, 12 out of 32
Ben Miraski writes for MRISports.com and is a featured blogger on FanIQ. Readers can contact Ben at bmiraski@mrisports.com
Posted by bmiraski at December 29, 2006 3:35 PM
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