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February 27, 2007
MRI2006: Tournament Projection #6
It finally happened. The Missouri Valley managed to squeak another team into the field. With their conference tournament starting this week, can they get three or more teams in? We will have to see who makes it to the finals.
Meanwhile, Massachusetts has staked a claim to a bid in the tournament, making two teams for the Atlantic 10. I still believe that the Minutemen will need a berth in their conference championship game to earn that right, but they have hung around after a good start to their season.
Losing ground quickly are teams from the Big East and ACC. The large groups which have been "IN" week after week haven't shown the same stuff as of late and their numbers are close to dwindling for good, especially as the conference tournaments start. The teams that are MRI bubble teams will need to make deep runs to ensure they have a spot in the real field.
One thing to keep an eye on this season. You will see a good number of teams from the major conferences making the tournament with double digit losses on their seasons. That is definitely something that we are not used to seeing in the tournament. It is unfortunate for the mid-major conferences that they had such down years in the non-conference slate because this would have been a prime year to squeak in multiple teams with the way that the major conferences were down in terms of how they stacked up.
One important note here. Notice that ACC co-leader Virginia and SEC 2nd place Vandy are not in from the MRI view. This speaks volumes about the schedule they played out of conference and also who they were matched with in the unbalanced schedules within their conference. I think we will see more and more, teams that have good conference seasons left out of the tournament because they only beat up on the bottom half of the league and didn't achieve against the other conference leaders.
Check out all the "seedings" in Week 6 of the MRI Tournament Projections.
| Teams proceeded by their conference names in all caps are the current MRI leaders of the teams remaining alive in those conferences projected to get one bid. | |||||
| East Region – East Rutherford, NJ | |||||
| Winston-Salem, NC | |||||
| #1 | North Carolina | #16 | Big Sky: Northern Arizona | ||
| #8 | Akron | #9 | Kentucky | ||
| Spokane, WA | |||||
| #5 | Texas | #12 | Providence | ||
| #4 | Air Force | #13 | BIG SOUTH: Winthrop | ||
| Columbus, OH | |||||
| #3 | Pittsburgh | #14 | IVY: Pennsylvania | ||
| #6 | Davidson | #11 | Massachusetts | ||
| Chicago, IL | |||||
| #7 | Missouri State | #10 | Florida State | ||
| #2 | Wisconsin | #15 | MAAC: Marist | ||
| South Region – San Antonio, TX | |||||
| New Orleans, LA | |||||
| #1 | Florida | #16 | NORTHEAST: Central Connecticut State | ||
| #8 | Louisville | #9 | Oregon | ||
| Buffalo, NY | |||||
| #5 | Old Dominion | #12 | Syracuse | ||
| #4 | Maryland | #13 | Patriot: Holy Cross | ||
| Buffalo, NY | |||||
| #3 | Michigan State | #14 | SUN BELT: Western Kentucky | ||
| #6 | Butler | #11 | Mississippi State | ||
| New Orleans, LA | |||||
| #7 | Clemson | #10 | Connecticut | ||
| #2 | Texas A&M | #15 | ATLANTIC SUN: East Tennessee State | ||
| West Region – San Jose, CA | |||||
| Lexington, KY | |||||
| #1 | Memphis | #16 | OVC: Austin Peay | ||
| #8 | Georgia Tech | #9 | Indiana | ||
| Spokane, WA | |||||
| #5 | Villanova | #12 | Washington State | ||
| #4 | Xavier | #13 | Oklahoma | ||
| Columbus, OH | |||||
| #3 | Georgetown | #14 | AMERICA EAST: Vermont | ||
| #6 | Illinois | #11 | Boston College | ||
| Sacramento, CA | |||||
| #7 | Nevada | #10 | UNLV | ||
| #2 | UCLA | #15 | BIG WEST: Long Beach State | ||
| Midwest Region – St. Louis, MO | |||||
| Chicago, IL | |||||
| #1 | Kansas | #16 | play-inSWAC: Jackson State vs. MEAC: Delaware State | ||
| #8 | BYU | #9 | Virginia Tech | ||
| Sacramento, CA | |||||
| #5 | Arizona | #12 | Purdue | ||
| #4 | Notre Dame | #13 | WCC: Gonzaga | ||
| Winston Salem, NC | |||||
| #3 | Duke | #14 | SOUTHLAND: Texas A&M-Corpus Christi | ||
| #6 | Marquette | #11 | Southern Illinois | ||
| Lexington, KY | |||||
| #7 | Virginia Commonwealth | #10 | Tennessee | ||
| #2 | Ohio State | #15 | MCC: Oral Roberts | ||
| East plays South, West plays Midwest in Final Four | |||||
| Conferences with multiple bids: Big East (9), ACC (8), Big 10 (6), Big 12 (4), SEC (4), Pac-10 (4), Mountain West (3), Colonial (2), MVC (2), Atlantic 10 (2) | |||||
| Moved Down for placement requirements: Connecticut, Providence | |||||
| Moved Up for placement requirements: Oregon, Boston College | |||||
| Last 4 At-Large Teams In: Boston College, Purdue, Washington State, Oklahoma | |||||
| Last 4 At-Large Teams Out: West Virginia, Georgia, Missouri, Michigan | |||||
| Toughest Region: East (East Rutherford, NJ) | |||||
| Easiest Region: Mid-West (Saint Louis, MO) | |||||
| Copyright 2007 MRISports.com | |||||
Ben Miraski writes for MRISports.com and is a featured blogger on FanIQ. Readers can contact Ben at bmiraski@mrisports.com
Posted by bmiraski at February 27, 2007 2:14 PM
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Comments
I swear you must have some vendetta against the Pac-10. Currently, you have them barely getting 4 seeds, with the #11 Washington State Cougars as one of your bubble teams with a scant 12 seed. You don't have the third place team in the conference, USC, in the tournament or even on the bubble, even though according to the Bracket Project, they are in 30/31 tournament brackets (yours being the only one in disagreement). I can forgive not putting Stanford in, but your low-ball seeding and ignorance surrounding the Pac-10 (or maybe disrespect) is way too apparent in your bracket.
Posted by: Alex at March 6, 2007 2:55 PM