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March 10, 2007

MRI2006: "Computer" Tournament Projection #8

This bracket is based on the MRI, a purely computer-generated ranking system that does not allow for the ‘human factor’. Therefore, what a human may ‘believe’ about the quality of a particular team does not factor in; only the numbers are relevant. Thus, as a purely statistical view of the college basketball landscape, it is by definition impartial and unbiased.

That's right. We are back to disclaimer land, especially since I am sure this bracket will cause some fervor. This bracket is based on the results through Friday night, with reference to a game on Saturday (America East Final).

And so what is new to get upset about? Washington State: OUT, Southern Illinois: OUT, USC: still OUT, Virginia: still OUT. Meanwhile, still in: Connecticut, both Florida State and Clemson, Mississippi State, and Arkansas. Who knew? I think Mississippi State did a lot for its image winning a tough game against Kentucky in the SEC tournament, but not making the finals is going to weigh on them with the committee, even with the good win. Arkansas is meanwhile shooting into the SEC Final, which should prove an interesting game against an again streaking Florida.

Virginia, meanwhile, didn't do anything to help itself by bowing out to North Carolina State, the 10 seed in the ACC tournament. Washington State squeaked a win against Washington, but then folded against USC. Southern Illinois, despite their great record, just doesn't have the super win that might have pushed them into definitive tournament strength by MRI standards, and not playing anymore probably means that they will be a missed team this year because there are a number of teams ahead of them that have finished their season and will not be able to drop behind the Salukis.

So, with that, time to bring on the computer tournament projection.

Teams proceeded by their conference names in all caps are the current MRI leaders of the teams remaining alive in those conferences projected to get one bid.

East Region – East Rutherford, NJ
Winston-Salem, NC
#1North Carolina #16OVC: Eastern Kentucky
#8Kentucky #9Old Dominion

Spokane, WA
#5BYU #12Connecticut
#4Michigan State #13PATRIOT: Holy Cross

Sacramento, CA
#3UCLA #14Wright State
#6Georgia Tech #11Massachusetts

Buffalo, NY
#7Illinois #10Tennessee
#2Pittsburgh #15ATLANTIC SUN: Belmont

South Region – San Antonio, TX
New Orleans, LA
#1Florida #16MAAC: Niagara
#8Villanova #9Purdue

Winston Salem, NC
#5Oregon #12BIG SOUTH: Winthrop
#4Duke #13IVY: Pennsylvania

Buffalo, NY
#3Xavier #14New Mexico State
#6UNLV #11Arkansas

New Orleans, LA
#7Louisville #10Clemson
#2Texas A&M #15NORTHEAST: Central Connecticut State

West Region – San Jose, CA
Lexington, KY
#1Memphis #16MEAC: Delaware State
#8Nevada #9Indiana

Spokane, WA
#5MAC: Akron #12Syracuse
#4SOUTHERN: Davidson #13SOUTHLAND: Texas A&M-Corpus Christi

Columbus, OH
#3Georgetown #14BIG WEST: Long Beach State
#6Texas #11Creighton

Chicago, IL
#7Arizona #10Virginia Tech
#2Wisconsin #15AMERICA EAST: Albany

Midwest Region – St. Louis, MO
Chicago, IL
#1Kansas #16play-inSWAC: Mississippi Valley State vs. BIG SKY: Weber State
#8Butler #9Missouri State

Sacramento, CA
#5Virginia Commonwealth #12Florida State
#4Notre Dame #13George Washington

Columbus, OH
#3Maryland #14MCC: Oral Roberts
#6Air Force #11Gonzaga

Lexington, KY
#7Marquette #10Mississippi State
#2Ohio State #15SUN BELT: North Texas


East plays South, West plays Midwest in Final Four

Conferences with multiple bids: Big East (8), ACC (7), Big 10 (6), SEC (5), Pac-10 (3), Big 12 (3), Mountain West (3), Atlantic 10 (3), MVC (2), Colonial (2), Horizon (2), WAC (2)

Moved Down for placement requirements: Syracuse
Moved Up for placement requirements: Arkansas

Last 4 At-Large Teams In: Syracuse, Arkansas, Connecticut, Florida State
Last 4 At-Large Teams Out: Southern Illinois, Michigan, West Virginia, Washington State

Toughest Region: West (San Jose, CA)
Easiest Region: Midwest (Saint Louis, MO)

Copyright 2007 MRISports.com

Ben Miraski writes for MRISports.com and is a featured blogger on FanIQ. Readers can contact Ben at bmiraski@mrisports.com

Posted by bmiraski at March 10, 2007 3:17 PM

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