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April 2, 2007
Playing the Percentages: Championship
I am sure there are those who disagree with the MRI so far and how it has done.
No matter.
Tonight, the human elements should in most cases agree with the computer.
If you think Greg Oden is the most defensively dominant player on the floor tonight, you might be right. However, Florida throws a good amount of offense against him including several big men, a strategy which will force Oden to commit and potentially have to recommit and cause early fouls.
If you think Ohio State's guards are talented, you are short changing Florida's guards who could easily play both outside and as small forwards on most teams.
If you want depth, there are few teams in the country that can throw more talent at you than Florida off the bench.
I am looking straight out to the country at large and saying Florida will repeat...
...which probably means they will not.
But the computer agrees with me.
(1) Ohio State vs. (1) Florida: Florida - 66.44%
Updated statistics for the computer this tournament:
1st Round: 25 for 32 overall, 2 for 6 upsets
2nd Round so far: 11 for 16 overall, 1 for 2 upsets (Only 1 off the expected value of wins - 12)
Sweet Sixteen: 8 for 8 overall (2 over the expected value of wins - 6)
Elite Eight: 1 for 4 overall, 0 for 1 in upsets (2 below the expected number of wins - 3)
Final Four: 2 for 2 overall
Tournament overall: 47 for 62, 75.80%
Copyright 2007 by MRISports.com. Ben Miraski writes for MRISports.com and is a featured blogger on FanIQ. Readers can contact Ben at bmiraski@mrisports.com
Posted by bmiraski at April 2, 2007 4:30 PM
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