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September 14, 2007
Big XII - Week 3 Preview
If I hadn’t made a third prediction on my site last week, my record against the spread would have been pretty pathetic at this point. Apparently believing in TCU and Miami last week was the wrong thing to do (although Fresno State did me right).
This week though, there is no doubt in my mind about the featured game in the Big XII. Nebraska is in trouble as they take on National Championship game favorite, USC.
Surprisingly, it is the defense that worries me. You may wonder how a defense which has given up less than 300 yards on average over the first two weeks could worry someone. However last week, I watched Wake Forest, whose offense is not USC’s caliber, drive consistently down the field against Nebraska. Then Nebraska’s defense would make a big stand inside the 10 yard line to keep control of the game.
Defensive coordinator Kevin Cosgrove attributed a lot of the problem to missed tackles, 12 by his count, against Wake Forest.
“We need to improve on our fundamental techniques,” Cosgrove said. “That’s the biggest thing.”
Improvement better be on the list. USC is not going to be as easily tamed as Wake was in the red zone. And USC is going to be a heck of a lot harder to bring down than Wake Forest.
No upset prediction this week. USC is going to win and cover(-10).
Likely Winners: Kansas (Toledo), Kansas State (Missouri State), Missouri (Western Michigan), Baylor (Texas State), Oklahoma (Utah State), Oklahoma State (Troy), Texas (Central Florida), Texas A&M (UL-Monroe), Texas Tech (Rice)
Likely Losers: Colorado, Iowa State (Iowa), Nebraska
Upset potential: Colorado over Florida State
Ben Miraski writes for MRISports.com and is a featured blogger on FanIQ. His Big XII preview appears weekly on Blogcritics.org as part of their NCAA Tailgate. You can read the full preview for week 3 here. Readers can contact Ben at bmiraski@mrisports.com
Posted by bmiraski at September 14, 2007 12:00 PM
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