Tennessee at South Carolina (-18) - Here is all you need to know about this game: Marcus Lattimore is playing for South Carolina. After sitting out last week against Vanderbilt with an ankle injury, he is back to face one of the worst rushing defenses in the country. Oregon shredded them, Alabama shredded them. Now South Carolina should do the same. The MRI gives South Carolina a 72.8 percent chance of winning the game straight up and I give them about a 100 percent chance to win by three touchdowns. Take the Gamecocks and lay the points.

Florida vs. Georgia (-2.5) at Jacksonville, Fla. - By now you have probably seen the rants about Florida still receiving votes in the Harris poll (and one kind placement at No. 24 on one ballot in the AP poll). The Gators haven’t really done anything to deserve a sniff at the top 25 based on the eyeball test. You can only assume this was a little pre-partying by the voters prior to the Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party taking place this weekend.

But before you judge too harshly, look at the numbers. Florida has lost to two one-loss teams and one two-loss team. And while Alabama blew out the Gators, the other two losses were by a combined seven points. That has them still hanging onto a ranking in the top 25 in the MRI and probably soundly among the best 40 teams in the country when you consider the state of the rest of the pack.

Now there are problems, most notably a sputtering offense which is just crying out for Trey Burton to get his shot. Unfortunately for the Gators, this would not be the game to throw him in. That could come next week at Vanderbilt when the season could be all but officially over for Florida.

Until then, they will falter on, hoping for a last gasp chance at the East division title (yes, they are amazingly still in it).

The MRI likes Florida a little bit with the neutral site factored in (51.5 percent). But that small margin with the small line doesn’t sit well here. Plus Georgia is just dominating in the turnover department lately and Florida is not doing well holding onto the ball. Look for a late fumble to turn this one the Bulldogs’ way. Take Georgia to cover and continue its amazing run back from a 1-4 start.

Auburn at Mississippi (+7) - And here begins the latest existential debate of the season. To pick Auburn or not to pick Auburn. It seems that when I go with the Tigers, they barely pull out the win. When I pick against them, they manage to either blow out the other team, or barely cover. There is just no winning with them, yet that is all they have done this season.

So I am going to go with the classic let down game tact on this one. After the big win over LSU, Auburn will have a hard time following it up.

I don’t think they will lose to Mississippi (they are too good for that, even if their passing defense is horrid), but they won’t go blowing them out either (thanks to that lovely passing defense).

Cam Newton should continue to add to his record totals as an SEC quarterback and put the number soo far out of reach, no one will ever approach it again.

But as I said, Mississippi will hang behind their own version of the dual-threat quarterback. The MRI like Auburn to win with 73.8 percent confidence (and so do I), but on the road and with the strain of last week and the pressure of being BCS No. 1, I am taking Mississippi and the points.

Vanderbilt at Arkansas (-21) - Vanderbilt is to the point where they are trying anything to stay relevant. This week will be the debut of a new offensive coordinator for the Commodores. It is too bad it won’t mean a thing for them on the defensive side of the ball where Arkansas should continue to throw up big numbers. The MRI likes Arkansas to the tune of 81.6 percent and that is confident enough to warrant laying three touchdowns against hapless Vandy. Take the Hogs and lay the 21.

Kentucky at Mississippi State (-6.5) - They might not be the first name out of your mouth when talking defense, but Mississippi State has shown they can get up for big games and slow down their opponents. They are fifth in the SEC in total defense per game and 13th in the country in points allowed. They shut teams down, period.

Going back to the turnover thought from the Florida - Georgia game, this game should hinge on the same thing. When Kentucky holds onto the ball, they win. When they don’t they lose. And they have been giving the ball up against the better defenses in the league.

This game sounds right up Mississippi State’s alley. The MRI likes the Bulldogs at home to the tune of 75 percent which sounds good enough to take them and lay the 6.5.

Lazy Saturday: Alabama (Waiting for the unbeatens to fall), LSU (Les Miles will be in hiding all weekend)

Southern Exposure was .500 last week at 3-3 bring the season’s record to 28-27-1.