January 2, 2008

The MRI vs. The World, 2007-8, Part 4

It looks as if we have our winner in the MRI vs. the World contest. No matter what happens over the last 5 games of the bowl season, a champion has been crowned. And we should all be ashamed.

Colin Cowherd has won the MRI vs. The World contest.

I can't believe it myself. When the Schwab was replaced, I thought that this was the year for someone to take away the crown. Yet, not so much.

Give ESPN some credit here. They have consistently had very good picks in the Fan Challenge and it makes it very hard for anyone else to win the MRI vs. The World Challenge when they do so well.

On the other hand, it was not a good showing so far from the boys at CBS. And I don't just mean last place, I mean last place by a big margin. Oh well, CBS, you can't win them all, and if you picked better, well, maybe you wouldn't be working at CBS.

Just a reminder that our lineup of Bowl Experts comes from the following list:

CBS Experts (Darst, Dodd, Harmon): Listed Here
Congrove Computer: Listed Here
Pat Forde (ESPN.com): Listed Here
Bruce Feldman (ESPN): Insider Article on ESPN, 1st Half Picks, 2nd Half
Colin Cowherd (Replacing The Schwab): Listed Here
Erick Smith (USA Today): Listed Here
Tulsa World Picker (Crazy Cartoon Hero): Part 1 Listed Here, Part 2 Listed Here (No TCU-Houston Pick), Part 3

The Fiesta Bowl
Why to watch?: Even without a coach, there is still a strong team in West Virginia. But I say that with the caveat that Pat White must play the entire game. This is probably the fastest defense they have seen all season, so expect a short lull for them at the beginning of the game. Oklahoma is, well, Oklahoma, and wants a shot at showing the AP voters that maybe they deserve another look.

Oklahoma: The MRI, Harmon, Darst, Dodd, Congrove, Forde, Feldman, Cowherd, Smith, Picker, The World (87%)

West Virginia: None




The Orange Bowl
Why to watch?: Maybe Kansas is better than we thought. They managed to come back against Missouri when they were down and almost completed that miracle. Virginia Tech is no scoring machine like Missouri. How many kicks will the Hokies block and return for TDs in this one?

Kansas: The MRI, Darst, Picker

Virginia Tech: Harmon, Dodd, Congrove, Forde, Feldman, Cowherd, Smith, The World (77%)

The International Bowl
Why to watch?: You don't like the NFL? Maybe you live in New Jersey? I can't really think of why you would want to watch a bowl game in Toronto either. Oooh, maybe they will play with Canadian rules and someone will get a rouge.

Rutgers: The MRI, Harmon, Darst, Congrove, Forde, Feldman, Cowherd, Smith, Picker, The World (97%)

Ball State: Dodd




The GMAC Bowl
Why to watch?: You need some sort of college football fix to get through the day. Tulsa might score 70 points in this one.

Tulsa: The MRI, Harmon, Darst, Dodd, Congrove, Forde, Feldman, Cowherd, Smith, Picker, The World (89%)

Bowling Green: None




The National Championship Game, or the Bowl Game in Search of a Name Bowl
Why to watch?: You want to see how long it will take before Ohio State gets blown out this season. Seriously, if the way that the Big Ten has performed in the bowl games so far has been any indication (other than major props to Michigan for finally beating a spread offense), then the Buckeyes are in serious trouble. Plus the game is on Fox, and we saw what a great job they did with the terrible camera shots of during the Sugar Bowl yesterday. Camera placement will likely be the same here and well, let's just say, they could use some help setting up for next season.

LSU: The MRI, Harmon, Darst, Dodd, Congrove, Forde, Feldman, Cowherd, Smith, The World (78%)

Ohio State: Picker

Standings:
1. Colin Cowherd, 23
2. Congrove Computer, 22
3. Harmon Predictor, 21
3. "The World", 21
5. Erick Smith, 20
6. Pat Forde, 19
6. The MRI, 19
8. Bruce Feldman, 18
9. Tulsa World Picker, 16
10. Darin Darst, 15
11. Dennis Dodd, 11

The MRI is a computer football ranking system. It has been picking games since 2003. Ben Miraski writes for MRISports.com and is a featured blogger on FanIQ. Readers can contact Ben at bmiraski@mrisports.com

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December 31, 2007

The MRI vs. The World, 2007-8, Part 3

Things have tightened up in the MRI vs. The World challenge this season. Instead of a few entrants running away with the whole thing, we have most of the entrants running away from the CBS talking heads.

Aside from the Congrove Computer, which has 13 points and leads the contest, there are 8 entries within three bowl wins. With enough discrepancy over the final week of games, this contest is still anyone's game. That is, anyone but Dennis Dodd and Darin Darst.

Just a reminder that our lineup of Bowl Experts comes from the following list:

CBS Experts (Darst, Dodd, Harmon): Listed Here
Congrove Computer: Listed Here
Pat Forde (ESPN.com): Listed Here
Bruce Feldman (ESPN): Insider Article on ESPN, 1st Half Picks, 2nd Half
Colin Cowherd (Replacing The Schwab): Listed Here
Erick Smith (USA Today): Listed Here
Tulsa World Picker (Crazy Cartoon Hero): Part 1 Listed Here, Part 2 Listed Here (No TCU-Houston Pick)

These predictions take us into the new year and our last installment will be January 2nd with the close-out of the contest.

The Armed Forces Bowl
Why to watch?: Cal wins for the most disappointing team this season, not any of those schools in Florida. This is their last chance to prove that they were better than they showed.

Air Force: The MRI, Darst, Dodd, Forde, Feldman, Smith, Picker

Cal: Harmon, Congrove, Cowherd, The World (74%)




The Humanitarian Bowl
Why to watch?: The Blue turf will complement the gold and red of the Georgia Tech and Fresno State uniforms so nicely. This is Georgia Tech's chance to see if they can break the streak of teams without a coach losing.

Georgia Tech: The MRI, Harmon, Dodd, Congrove, Cowherd, Smith, Picker, The World (71%)

Fresno State: Darst, Forde, Feldman, Smith

The Sun Bowl
Why to watch?: Oregon hasn't won a game since Dennis Dixon got hurt. Let's see how well whomever is at quarterback deals with the South Florida defense featuring George Selvie. Things don't look good for the Ducks

South Florida: The MRI, Harmon, Darst, Dodd, Congrove, Forde, Feldman, Picker, The World (83%)

Oregon: Cowherd, Smith




The Music City Bowl
Why to watch?: Can Florida State overcome missing almost 1/3 of their traveling team? Doubtful. This is Andre Woodson's one last chance to impress in a game situation before the draft.

Kentucky: The MRI, Harmon, Darst, Dodd, Congrove, Forde, Feldman, Cowherd, Smith, The World (90%)

Florida State: Picker




The Insight Bowl
Why to watch?: Oklahoma State's offense is something to behold. Indiana, not so much, but they made a bowl game for the first time since 1993. That should give them at least some incentive to win.

Oklahoma State: The MRI, Harmon, Congrove, Cowherd, Smith, Picker, The World (87%)

Indiana: Darst, Dodd, Forde, Feldman




The Peach Bowl
Why to watch?: I still can't call it solely by its chicken sponsor's name. You can't change the name of one of the most famous bowl games without it taking a little time for people to get used to it. This is just like that FBS and FCS craziness that the NCAA has tried to impose on us. Auburn was everyone's favorite spoiler this season, and this will be their chance to spoil some draft hopes for the two Clemson running backs. Expect a wild one in Atlanta.

Clemson: The MRI, Harmon, Darst, Dodd, Congrove, Feldman, Picker, The World (57%)

Auburn: Forde, Cowherd, Smith




The Outback Bowl
Why to watch?: Tennessee ended up in the SEC championship based on tie breakers. It was hard to say that they were the best team out of the SEC East this season. So, can slow and steady Wisconsin take down the pretender? This is one of the best match ups of the bowl season.

Wisconsin: The MRI, Darst, Dodd, Feldman, Smith, Picker

Tennessee: Harmon, Congrove, Forde, Cowherd, The World (75%)




The Cotton Bowl
Why to watch?: Missouri has a chip on their shoulder after being left out of the BCS when they only lost to one team this season, even if they lost twice to them. Arkansas is a team in transition, but they still have Darren McFadden (for now, unless this car thing gets resolved in a day), and Felix Jones. The over is in serious jeopardy.

Missouri: The MRI, Harmon, Darst, Dodd, Congrove, Forde, Feldman, Cowherd, The World (77%)

Arkansas: Smith, Picker




The Gator Bowl
Why to watch?: Texas Tech's air attack will be tough for Virginia to keep up with. See how quickly Virginia gets down when they give up more than 20 points in a game, potentially in the first quarter.

Texas Tech: The MRI, Harmon, Darst, Congrove, Forde, Feldman, Cowherd, Smith, The World (83%)

Virginia: Dodd, Picker




The Capital One Bowl
Why to watch?: Michigan has had trouble with spread offenses all season long. This game should be no different against Florida. What should be interesting is how much the senior offense of the Wolverines can put together, featuring Mike Hart, and Chad Henne. This may not do well for their draft prospects.

Florida: The MRI, Harmon, Darst, Dodd, Congrove, Forde, Feldman, Cowherd, Smith, Picker, The World (92%)

Michigan: None




The Rose Bowl
Why to watch?: USC is the biggest favorite of all 32 bowl games. Can they cover? It looks better and better after Lou Holtz jinxed the Illini with one of this pep talks.

USC: The MRI, Harmon, Darst, Dodd, Congrove, Forde, Feldman, Cowherd, Smith, Picker, The World (85%)

Illinois: None




The Sugar Bowl
Why to watch?: This is Hawaii's chance to shock the world like Boise State did last season. While most people don't think the Warriors belong, their are at least 90 men on their sideline who do. Georgia was left out of the National Championship by the poll voters and have plenty to prove in this one. Let's call this the "Affirmation Bowl"

Georgia: The MRI, Harmon, Dodd, Congrove, Forde, Feldman, Cowherd, Smith, Picker, The World (74%)

Hawaii: Darst

Standings:
1. Colin Cowherd, 22
2. Congrove Computer, 21
3. Harmon Predictor, 20
3. "The World", 20
5. Erick Smith, 19
6. Pat Forde, 18
7. The MRI, 17
7. Bruce Feldman, 17
9. Tulsa World Picker, 14
9. Darin Darst, 13
11. Dennis Dodd, 11

The MRI is a computer football ranking system. It has been picking games since 2003. Ben Miraski writes for MRISports.com and is a featured blogger on FanIQ. Readers can contact Ben at bmiraski@mrisports.com

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December 27, 2007

The MRI vs. The World, 2007-8, Part 2

It has been a strong start to the Bowl season for the MRI. Despite taking a loss picking Boise State (along with "The World" and all of the experts) the MRI has held its own and is among the leaders in the race for the Bowl trophy this season.

Just a reminder that our lineup of Bowl Experts comes from the following list:

CBS Experts (Darst, Dodd, Harmon): Listed Here
Congrove Computer: Listed Here
Pat Forde (ESPN.com): Listed Here
Bruce Feldman (ESPN): Insider Article on ESPN, 1st Half Picks, 2nd Half
Colin Cowherd (Replacing The Schwab): Listed Here
Erick Smith (USA Today): Listed Here
Tulsa World Picker (Crazy Cartoon Hero): Part 1 Listed Here, Part 2 Listed Here (No TCU-Houston Pick)

And now for the next set of games, games that will take us through December 30th. Our next update will come on New Year's Eve and should define who has the inside track to the trophy this season.

The Holiday Bowl
Why to watch?: Arizona State is looking for a reason to be happy after not making a BCS bowl game. Maybe the Wii they got for playing this one will help. Beating an underperforming Texas squad sure will.

Arizona State: The MRI, Darst, Dodd, Forde, Cowherd, Smith, Picker, The World (54%)

Texas: Harmon, Congrove, Feldman




The Champs Sports Bowl
Why to watch?: Catholics vs. Convicts, the couch burning version. Biggest test here is if Michigan State can overcome what seems to be a brain deficiency when it gets cold outside. Boston College might be too good for that.

Boston College: The MRI, Harmon, Darst, Congrove, Forde, Feldman, Cowherd, Smith, Picker, The World (91%)

Michigan State: Dodd

The Texas Bowl
Why to watch?: You are one of the few families in America with the NFL Network and you don't want to let the rest of us down. This bowl may have the smallest combined travel distance of any in the country, so look for two fresh teams, and big offensive numbers. The Picker was too chicken to pick this one.

TCU: The MRI, Harmon, Dodd, Congrove, Forde, Feldman, Cowherd, Smith, The World (85%)

Houston: Darst




The Emerald Bowl
Why to watch?: The Emerald Bowl sounds like a decent bowl name, until you realize it is for the nut company. Only watch if you care which Oregon State team shows up to play. The decent one, or the really bad one.

Oregon State: The MRI, Harmon, Darst, Dodd, Congrove, Forde, Feldman, Cowherd, Smith, Picker, The World (88%)

Maryland: None




The Meineke Car Care Bowl
Why to watch?: George Foreman commercials are always fun. Otherwise, there might only be about 20 points in the whole game.

Connecticut: The MRI, Darst, Dodd, Smith, Picker

Wake Forest: Harmon, Congrove, Forde, Feldman, Cowherd, The World (71%)




The Liberty Bowl
Why to watch?: Central Florida is the best team you didn't watch this season. They put scares into a lot of big names. Sly Croom better have something up his sleeve to pull this one out. He managed to do just that this season in the SEC.

Central Florida: The MRI, Harmon, Darst, Dodd, Congrove, Forde

Mississippi State: Feldman, Cowherd, Smith, Picker, The World (59%)




The Alamo Bowl
Why to watch?: Every bowl game may be JoePa's last. This one is almost a gimmee without a coach at all on the other sideline.

Penn State: The MRI, Harmon, Darst, Congrove, Forde, Feldman, Cowherd, Smith, Picker, The World (82%)

Texas A&M: Dodd




The Independence Bowl
Why to watch?: See if any Bama fans hail Nick Saban as their savior for barely pulling one out in the Independence Bowl of all places. Because everyone wanted to go to Shreveport this year for the holidays, right? AND THIS IS DIVISION ONE FOOTBALL!

Alabama: The MRI, Harmon, Congrove, Feldman, Cowherd, Smith, Picker, The World (89%)

Colorado: Darst, Dodd, Forde

Standings:
1. Congrove Computer, 13
2. Harmon Predictor, 12
2. Colin Cowherd, 12
3. "The World", 12
5. The MRI, 11
5. Erick Smith, 11
5. Bruce Feldman, 11
8. Pat Forde, 10
8. Tulsa World Picker, 10
10. Dennis Dodd, 8
11. Darin Darst, 7

The MRI is a computer football ranking system. It has been picking games since 2003. Ben Miraski writes for MRISports.com and is a featured blogger on FanIQ. Readers can contact Ben at bmiraski@mrisports.com

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December 20, 2007

The MRI vs. The World, 2007-8

It is Bowl Time again, which means the MRI will again be taking on The World, consisting of Expert picks around the Internet, and the all important fan vote, taken from FanIQ.com.

Last season's champion is gone. The Schwab more than proved himself worthy over the two years he was a part of the MRI's competition and has retired from picking. In his place is someone I know a lot of the Internet loves to hate, Colin Cowherd. Judging from Cowherd's picks, he will end up around the same score as Dennis Dodd, who again proved that he likes to go against the grain and pick a little on the wild side.

Here is this year's lineup of challengers to the MRI:

CBS Experts (Darst, Dodd, Harmon): Listed Here
Congrove Computer: Listed Here
Pat Forde (ESPN.com): Listed Here
Bruce Feldman (ESPN): Insider Article on ESPN, 1st Half Picks
Colin Cowherd (Replacing The Schwab): Listed Here
Erick Smith (USA Today): Listed Here
Tulsa World Picker (Crazy Cartoon Hero): Part 1 Listed Here

This first listing will take us through all of the picks up until December 26th, the day after Christmas, when the picks for the next set will again be published. Good luck to all of the challengers again in this year's challenge.

The Poinsettia Bowl
Why to watch?: Triple Option games are fun! Utah's defense is fun-ner.

Utah: The MRI, Harmon, Dodd, Congrove, Forde, Feldman, Smith, Picker, The World (70%)

Navy: Darst, Cowherd




The New Orleans Bowl
Why to watch?: Friday nights are a bad NCAA basketball night.

Florida Atlantic: The MRI, Darst, Dodd, Congrove, Forde, Cowherd, Picker

Memphis: Harmon, Feldman, Smith, The World (65%)

The Papajohns.com Bowl
Why to watch?: Cincinnati was a surprising contender in the Big East. A bowl win to finish the season will be a nice end cap. Plus, they still have a coach.

Cincinnati: The MRI, Harmon, Darst, Dodd, Congrove, Forde, Feldman, Cowherd, Smith, Picker, The World (94%)

Southern Mississippi: None




The New Mexico Bowl
Why to watch?: Nevada's Pistol offense is a lot of fun. Think spread offense with a little more flair. New Mexico doesn't lose at home.

New Mexico: The MRI, Harmon, Darst, Dodd, Congrove, Cowherd, Smith, The World (68%)

Nevada: Forde, Feldman, Picker




The Las Vegas Bowl
Why to watch?: It is rare to see a team beat the same team twice in a season. This time around it won't come as such a shock.

BYU: The MRI, Harmon, Darst, Dodd, Congrove, Forde, Feldman, Cowherd, Smith, Picker, The World (77%)

UCLA: None




The Hawaii Bowl
Why to watch?: Hawaii isn't playing at home for the first time in years. In their place, you get Boise State's crazy offense. Plus, you don't really want to watch "It's a Wonderful Life" or "A Christmas Story" again, do you?

Boise State: The MRI, Harmon, Darst, Dodd, Congrove, Forde, Feldman, Cowherd, Smith, Picker, The World (100%)

East Carolina: None




The Motor City Bowl
Why to watch?: The Big Ten loves to beat up on MAC teams during the season. Bowls should be no different. Central Michigan has a great young quarterback who will get some mention next year for the Heisman, Dan LeFevour.

Purdue: The MRI, Harmon, Darst, Congrove, Forde, Cowherd, Smith, Picker, The World (92%)

Central Michigan: Dodd, Feldman

Standings:
1. Congrove Computer, 6
1. The MRI, 6
3. Dennis Dodd, 5
3. Pat Forde, 5
3. Harmon Predictor, 5
3. Erick Smith, 5
3. Tulsa World Picker, 5
3. "The World", 5
3. Colin Cowherd, 5
3. Darin Darst, 5
11. Bruce Feldman, 3

The MRI is a computer football ranking system. It has been picking games since 2003. Ben Miraski writes for MRISports.com and is a featured blogger on FanIQ. Readers can contact Ben at bmiraski@mrisports.com

Posted by bmiraski at 1:30 PM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

January 7, 2007

National Championship Game - Florida vs. Ohio State

Ok, so I lied. I didn't post predictions for either the International Bowl or the GMAC Bowl. Let's be honest though. Did anyone watch these two? Why do we have lesser bowl games played between the BCS Bowls and the National Championship. Someone needs to get Fox on the horn and correct this.

The National Championship should not be being played after the NFL playoffs have begun. It should be close to the other meaningful bowl games, and while a week of hype is probably better for ratings, it also really stretches the season longer than necessary.

Conference season is starting in basketball before we have this game. Does that not bother anyone else that we are still trying to follow one more game while basketball is starting to hit its huge stride.

This should be corrected and the entire bowl schedule needs to be looked at. I think the addition of 4 bowl games this year was a little much, and the extension of the bowl season, while a great time, makes it seem like the regular season was so far away. And really, it was. The conference championships were played on December 2nd. Even Florida will have had 36 days since their last game. That is a long time.

But off my soapbox I jump. It is time to look at the biggest game of the year, the third meeting between #1 and #2 and the quest for the crystal football.

Based on what we have seen this bowl season, I think we can be clear on one thing. Both teams will come out a little rusty on defense. I know that seems strange, but look at the Sugar Bowl. LSU gave up more yards in the first half to Notre Dame than they had on average all season. Notre Dame was also having trouble stopping LSU when LSU did what it needed to against the Irish (Throw the Ball!).

So, given that, I think we will see some scoring early. It is not like either of these teams have a struggling offense. Ohio State put points on the board against every team they played this season, including against Michigan's vaunted defense (which disappeared in the Rose Bowl). Florida has blossomed in its second year under Urban Meyer's spread offense. Even with a rotation at quarterback between Chris Leak and Tim Tebow, which I am sure we will see on Monday night, the team succeeded in all of their games except one.

This could be the biggest test for Ohio State yet, even more than Texas, more than Michigan. Florida has one of the best rushing defenses in the country and that could put even more pressure on Heisman Trophy winner Troy Smith. Smith has plenty of options to pass to, and his mobility has been a big asset for Ohio State over the past two seasons when he has started. Look for Smith to try to hit Ted Ginn or Anthony Gonzalez deep early to set the tone for how Ohio State will play this game.

The Ohio State defense was a big question mark coming into the year, but led by Quinn Pitcock and James Laurinaitis, the unit turned into one of the best in the nation. So, now they will have to put together a lot of speed to contain the Florida offense, especially the speedy receiving core. Dallas Baker, Andre Caldwell, and Percy Harvin, have tested defenses all season, and this will be the best passing game that Ohio State has faced, even better than the speed at Michigan. Florida has trouble getting their running game going, and they may need to set up the run with the pass since they are going to need to stretch the Buckeye defense before the middle will be open to them.

While Florida should be able to score, I think the edge in any shootout would go to the many offensive weapons on Ohio State. The Buckeyes have a lot to play for in this game, and no one prepares for a game better than Jim Tressel, no matter what you think of him. Since we have seen some major trick plays in the past few games, don't expect the National Championship game to be any different. Ohio State should be able to take this one, probably by two touchdowns in the end.

MRI Predicts: Ohio State Confidence factor: 73.33%, 23 out of 32

Ben Miraski writes for MRISports.com and is a featured blogger on FanIQ. Readers can contact Ben at bmiraski@mrisports.com

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January 1, 2007

2006 Bowl Predictions - Part 7

As I write this, Boise State has taken a improbable lead on Oklahoma into halftime, making the MRI's prediction of a Bronco victory, not only a possibility, but also likely. That should at least help to get the computer out of the basement in the standings.

USC's victory over Michigan in the Rose Bowl will certainly have everyone talking about how the "correct" choice was made to put Florida into the National Championship. The Wolverines definitely didn't look like the same team that had rumbled through the season as the 2nd best in the nation. USC definitely didn't look like the team that got beaten by UCLA just a few short weeks ago either. The Trojans turned what should have been a very close game on paper into a statement that will follow them into next year when they will once again be the favorites to run the table and win yet another National Championship for Pete Carroll.

But before we crown them next year, there are still a few more games to look at. In this edition, let's take a look into the Orange Bowl and Sugar Bowl, with the final non-championship games to come in a preview later this week.

Orange Bowl
Jim Grobe has taken Wake Forest from a predicted bottom dweller to the BCS, but the task for them hasn't gotten any easier. Up against the Demon Deacons in the Orange Bowl will be Louisville who had struggles of their own this season. The Cardinals lost their number one running back to injury early. They lost their quarterback for a stretch in the middle of the season. They lost their chance at a National Championship with a second half collapse against Rutgers. It seemed like a lot of losses this season, and yet, except for that one night in Piscataway, all the Cardinals did was win. Louisville brings with it one of the most prolific offenses in the league, averaging almost 480 yards a game. Brian Brohm leads this offense under center and has a pair of speedy receivers in Mario Urrutia and Harry Douglas. Plus, since the loss of Michael Bush, a team of running backs has taken over to continue the strong running game that gets almost 200 yards a game. As you can see, if Wake Forest is going to win this game, they are going to have to rely on the tough defense that got them here. The Deacs are +14 on turnovers this season, and will need to generate a few big ones to have a chance in this one, since the Wake offense is nothing to get very excited about. Their quarterback threw for less than 2000 yards. Their leading rusher didn't even break the 500 yard mark. It isn't going to be easy for them to score should they get down early at all. Of course, we thought the same thing about Georgia Tech and they seemed to do fairly well against West Virginia. I would look for Louisville to try and score big early and then just concentrate on stopping the Wake comeback. Chances are they will do better at that than they did against Rutgers.

MRI Predicts:Louisville Confidence factor: 65.81%, 26 out of 32

Sugar Bowl
When you haven't won a bowl game in 12 years, it starts to weigh on you. Especially so when more than 80 programs have won a bowl game since you have. Even more so when you have one of the most storied names in college football. That is just what Notre Dame is facing rolling into the most impossible of situations: Facing LSU in the Superdome in New Orleans, just a year since Katrina. In a situation like that, I don't think you are going to see the Tigers just roll over and play with a yarn ball for the Fighting Irish. We have heard all the criticisms of Notre Dame this year, especially that they haven't played anyone other than Michigan and USC. Funny, but last time I looked, a good number of the Notre Dame opponents made bowl games this season, including some showing signs of brilliance that weren't expected from them. I think the MRI's rating of their schedule at #12 in the nation is anything but a fluke. We know the players on the Irish, and we also know that their defense is the reason they lose ball games (or almost lose ballgames, like against UCLA). Notre Dame will definitely be put to the test against LSU's offense, who many coaches in the SEC say is the most talented group in the conference. That is saying something in the SEC. If it hadn't been for a brutal schedule which forced the Tigers to play all of their toughest games on the road (Auburn, Florida, Tennessee, and Arkansas), we might be talking about how they would stack up against the Ohio State Buckeyes in the championship game. LSU comes at you from all angles on offense and their defense is one of the stingiest in the nation. If Michigan's defense shocked Notre Dame, they have no idea what is coming for them in LSU. This game is very lopsided on paper, and a lot will rely on JaMarcus Russell's ability to avoid making mistakes throwing the ball. Russell is much improved at that over previous seasons, and that will be all the difference in this game. Look for that Notre Dame streak to extend to 13 seasons.

MRI Predicts: LSU Confidence factor: 74.07%, 30 out of 32

Ben Miraski writes for MRISports.com and is a featured blogger on FanIQ. Readers can contact Ben at bmiraski@mrisports.com

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The MRI vs. The World - Update #3, The Home Stretch

The Big Ten finally got a few bowl wins today. Penn State and Wisconsin overcame that "pretty good" conference, the SEC with wins over Tennessee and Arkansas. The games of the past few days have once again jumbled the standings in the big race, shuffling the MRI down to ... umm, well, last place. There is still time and a few games for the computer to reassert its dominance, though.

If it is any consolation, last year's big winner, Dennis Dodd has fallen into a tie with the MRI and that will make the last few games interesting. And while we can't catch the Schwab, who looks in line for the win overall, we definitely can make it interesting since the computer likes a few underdogs moving forward.

As I like to say, it is still anyone's game.

Updated Standings:
1. The Schwab, 20-5, 80%
2. The World, 18-7, 72%
2. Harmon Predictor, 18-7, 72%
4. Darin Darst, 16-9, 64%
4. Congrove Computer, 16-9, 64%
6. The MRI, 15-10, 60%
6. Dennis Dodd, 15-10, 60%

The Rose Bowl
Michigan: The MRI, Darst, Dodd, The World

USC: Harmon, Schwab, Congrove

Fiesta Bowl
Boise State: The MRI

Oklahoma: Darst, Dodd, Harmon, Schwab, Congrove, The World

Orange Bowl
Louisville: The MRI, Dodd, Harmon, Congrove, The World

Wake Forest: Darst, Schwab

Sugar Bowl
LSU: The MRI, Darst, Dodd, Harmon, Schwab, Congrove, The World

Notre Dame: None

International Bowl
Western Michigan: The MRI, Dodd

Cincinnati: Darst, Harmon, Schwab, Congrove, The World

GMAC Bowl
Southern Mississippi: The MRI, Darst, Dodd, Harmon, Schwab, Congrove, The World

Ohio: None

The National Championship Game
Ohio State: The MRI, Darst, Dodd, Harmon, Schwab, Congrove

Florida: None

Ben Miraski writes for MRISports.com and is a featured blogger on FanIQ. Readers can contact Ben at bmiraski@mrisports.com

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December 31, 2006

2006 Bowl Predictions - Part 6

Few saw that one coming. Georgia, down 18, rallies back to beat what was probably the best team in the ACC by the end of the year. This was the Georgia team with little offense, that looked like they were throwing away the game in the first half, and yet, they end as the Pea...Chick-Fil-A Bowl champs.

Of course the opposite happened too. Everyone thought that Texas Tech would win, and they had to make the biggest comeback in bowl history in order to beat Minnesota. I was sitting there watching the television and couldn't believe my eyes as the Minnesota score continues to tick up while the Red Raiders were stuck on zero. And then, once I had given up all hope, of course they manage to come back. Football is a strange game.

So, more amazing feats to add to our bowl season checklist: Oregon State shows cajones going for two to win instead of just going to overtime, and gets it. Steve Aponavicius goes from goat to hero with a last second field goal to beat Navy. Iowa learned how to play football in the last month, but still lost to a superior Texas team. Rutgers was that good this year. Cal didn't give up on their season. Clemson's kicker did.

Six more games kick off on New Year's Day. Let's take a look at them all from morning to night.

Outback Bowl
This wasn't the same magical season for Penn State as last year, but this team was underrated overall. Yes, they lost big in the games that they lost, but look at the records of the opponents that beat them. 4 combined losses for the four teams that beat them. That is pretty stiff competition. Joe Paterno still showed that he could make the most from what he has on the field, breaking in a new quarterback (Anthony Morelli) which could have Penn State back on top next year. And the Nittany Lions have a punishing defense which has improved as the season moved on. They will need it against the team which did come back from the dead this season. Tennessee was an after thought for some, and a cautious contender pick for many. Bringing back David Cutcliffe to run the offense has turned Erik Ainge from another quarterback bust into one of the top quarterbacks in the nation this season. He has plenty of weapons to throw to, including speedster Robert Meachem, who averaged almost 19 yards per reception. Penn State may have been underrated but Tennessee has more talent and has been the more consistent team all year long. Look for the Vol passing game to give Penn State fits and as long as Erik Ainge doesn't suddenly revert to last season's form (can you say interceptions galore?), Tennessee should be taking this one.

MRI Predicts: Tennessee Confidence factor: 71.18%, 14 out of 32

Cotton Bowl
It's nice to see Nebraska back and competing again. Sure, they didn't seem to compete very well in the Big XII championship game where they came away with the loss that sent them here to the Cotton Bowl, but they did compete during the regular season. They came very close to knocking off Texas earlier in the season, and they played well enough to almost make it through the Big XII undefeated. They get Auburn in the Cotton Bowl, and there is probably no team that was picked to win more often in the pre-season. And Auburn disappointed despite a 10-2 record. 10-2 would be a great season for a lot of teams, but losses to Arkansas and Georgia don't make for happy Tiger fans, especially when it means you are left out of the SEC championship. Auburn also has a number of defensive players suspended for this game which could prove troublesome. This game will come down to how well Auburn is able to move against Nebraska's defense. Kenny Irons and Brandon Cox will have to do more than they have done lately if the Tigers hope to go home winners. The defense also has to stop Zac Taylor from getting rolling at any point in this game. The more confidence he gets in the pocket for Nebraska, the more trouble the Tigers will be in. Auburn should prevail in this game, but the Cornhuskers have the determination to come away with their 10th win of the season. Look for a close battle that could be decided in the final minutes, likely with a crucial defensive play.

MRI Predicts: Auburn Confidence factor: 71.18%, 16 out of 32

Capital One Bowl
From Auburn to Arkansas, the team that did surprise this season. Yes, I did pick them to win the West in the SEC, and then shuddered for 60 minutes as I watched them dismantled by USC. However, Arkansas came back, despite quarterback struggles and changes, despite all the odds, mostly on the back of Darren McFadden. McFadden only ran himself to second place in the Heisman race, and will likely be the pre-season pick for that award next year. Right now, he will have to figure out how to get through Wisconsin's tough run defense, along with running mate Felix Jones. One thing to remember here for Arkansas on offense. Auburn was supposed to have great stopping power against the run too and Arkansas ran all over them. Same with Florida in the SEC championship game. Arkansas is tough to stop. And yet, if anyone can do it, it might be Wisconsin who had the best defense in the Big Ten. Better than Ohio State's, better than Michigan's. Those are the teams you heard about, not the Badgers. For their own part on offense, Wisconsin will feature back PJ Hill who completed a nice freshman season with over 1500 yards and 15 rushing touchdowns. Arkansas gives up some yards on the ground and should be vulnerable to the quick Hill. On offense for the Badgers, also watch tackle Joe Thomas who will most likely be among the first 10 players taken in the NFL draft. Should Wisconsin pass the ball much, Thomas will be protecting either John Stocco (shoulder?), or Tyler Donovan, long enough that they can eat sandwiches. The computer and I (despite my pre-season pick) think that Wisconsin's defense is enough to turn this towards them, but don't count out McFadden or Gus Malzahn's offense completely.

MRI Predicts: Wisconsin Confidence factor: 77.11%, 18 out of 32

Gator Bowl
West Virginia wanted to be playing for the National Title, but their defense let them down a few times this season. But let's be clear, Georgia Tech's offense is not Louisville, is not Rutgers. The Mountaineers can be vulnerable, but the connection of Yellow Jackets quarterback Reggie Ball to Calvin Johnson isn't what it should be. Running back Tashard Choice will need to step up big for Georgia Tech if they hope to even compete in this game. Why? Georgia Tech hasn't faced an offense like West Virginia all season. The spread option attack is difficult to counter. You have to be able to get outside quickly. You have to be able to defend the pass. You can't let the two headed monster of Pat White and Steve Slaton get the best of you with their trickery. Jackets defensive coordinator Joe Tenuta knows all that, but this is a lot to prepare for, even if your team has been sensational against the run all season long. It won't take much for West Virginia to open up a lead on Georgia Tech that is impossible for the stagnant offense of the Yellow Jackets to come back from. Georgia Tech is also reeling from losing to Wake Forest, of all teams, in the ACC championship. This one has Mountaineers written all over it, which probably means Georgia Tech will find a way to make a game of it. Still, the safe money is on Slaton helping West Virginia to run away with this one.

MRI Predicts: West Virginia Confidence factor: 65.81%, 25 out of 32

Rose Bowl
The Rose Bowl roses might seem a little more thorny this season than ever before, but Michigan and USC will still want to prove that they deserved more this season. Both teams feature very good defenses which is nothing new. One thing we know though is that Michigan has found a way to overcome those good defenses this season while USC has consistently struggled when the defense has been just above average. Michael Hart just announced that he will be returning next year for Michigan which gives them a great chance at a National Title next year. This season, he will want a Rose Bowl win. Hart is good enough to break through the USC defense, like he did against Wisconsin, like he did against Ohio State. Watch for USC to concentrate more than their fair share on stopping the back. That might leave Chad Henne enough room to get to the speedy Michigan receivers, who are at full strength for this battle. USC meanwhile will have to see if they can exploit the slower Michigan secondary, much like Ohio State did. Michigan has shown flashes of brilliance against the passing game (see Notre Dame), but USC's receivers Dwayne Jarrett and Steve Smith, are some of the fastest in the game. If Leon Hall can return to form though, he should be able to neutralize at least half of that combination. And that should be long enough for LaMarr Woodley and Prescott Burgess to add into the pass rush and turn John David Booty to mush. This one should be a classic, much like the last two Rose Bowls, with the slight edge to the boys in blue.

MRI Predicts: Michigan Confidence factor: 53.25%, 1 out of 32

Fiesta Bowl
Oklahoma seems to be able to rotate anyone into their lineup and win, at least this season. And now, the one man that they thought they would be counting on more than anything else this season has returned. Adrian Peterson has returned from his shoulder injury and should be able to provide at least some of the rushing attack for the Sooners against Boise State. That is bad news for the Broncos. Good news? Boise State has one of the better rushing defenses in the nation, although against much inferior competition. Good news? Boise State generates turnovers, which a less than 100% shoulder for Peterson might be susceptible to. Good news? Boise State has their own great back in Ian Johnson who only led the nation in rushing touchdowns this season. And he didn't do it only against the WAC. Johnson had 5 touchdowns against a certain Oregon State team who has pulled an upset or two this year. Plus the Broncos quarterback Jared Zabransky is just a little better than average. Together, they back one of the most potent offenses in the game, one that only scored less than 30 points twice this season, and less than 20 once. The key for Oklahoma will be making sure they have enough balance on offense. Paul Thompson will need to be smart with his throws because the speed of Oklahoma can beat the Boise State defensive backs. The computer likes Boise State and why shouldn't it? The Broncos have put some impressive numbers together this year. And Boise State has a lot to play for, being only the second non-BCS team to crash the BCS party. I am going to have to disagree with the microchips on this one. Oklahoma should be too fast, but don't expect them to totally shut down Boise State. This one should be a shootout with Oklahoma the better of the two teams in the end.

MRI Predicts: Boise State Confidence factor: 77.11%, 22 out of 32

Ben Miraski writes for MRISports.com and is a featured blogger on FanIQ. Readers can contact Ben at bmiraski@mrisports.com

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December 30, 2006

The MRI vs. The World - Update #2

The Schwab is starting to open up a lead on the rest of the contestants. That normally happens when you only get two games wrong the entire bowl season. I think this is mostly Schwab taking this a little more seriously this year.

Last season, the fans defeated the Schwab and I think that made him mad. Haven't you ever watched "Stump the Schwab" and seen him lose? He gets angry, sort of like incredible hulk angry. You wouldn't like The Schwab when he is angry.

So this year he is getting his revenge on all of us. We are only half way home so there is plenty of time for us all to catch him.

Updated Standings:
1. The Schwab, 15-2, 88%
2. Darin Darst, 13-4, 76%
2. The World, 13-4, 76%
2. Dennis Dodd, 13-4, 76%
5. Harmon Predictor, 12-5, 71%
6. The MRI, 10-7, 59%
6. Congrove Computer, 10-7, 59%

Meineke Car Care Bowl
Boston College: The MRI, Harmon, Congrove, The World

Navy: Darst, Dodd, Schwab

Alamo Bowl
Texas: The MRI, Darst, Harmon, Schwab, Congrove, The World

Iowa: Dodd

Chick-Fil-A Bowl (formerly the Peach Bowl, stupid sponsorship)
Virginia Tech: The MRI, Darst, Dodd, Harmon, Schwab, Congrove, The World

Georgia: None

MPC Computers Bowl
Nevada: The MRI, Darst, Dodd

Miami: Harmon, Schwab, Congrove, The World

Outback Bowl
Tennessee: The MRI, Darst, Dodd, Harmon, Schwab, The World

Penn State: Congrove

Cotton Bowl
Auburn: The MRI, Darst, Dodd, Harmon, Schwab, The World

Nebraska: Congrove

Gator Bowl
West Virginia: The MRI, Darst, Dodd, Harmon, Schwab, Congrove, The World

Georgia Tech: None

Capital One Bowl
Wisconsin: The MRI, Harmon, Schwab, Congrove

Arkansas: Darst, Dodd, The World

Ben Miraski writes for MRISports.com and is a featured blogger on FanIQ. Readers can contact Ben at bmiraski@mrisports.com

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December 29, 2006

2006 Bowl Predictions - Part 5

Four More Bowls! Four More Bowls! That's right, there are four more bowls after today before the ball drops and we say hello to 2007. Don't fret though. Over a third of the bowl season is yet to come once we hit next year. That is kind of sad when you think about it.

There used to be meaning to getting to play on New Year's Day or after. Now it seems that the bowls don't really start rolling until you get to New Year's Day. And you get to watch teams like Western Michigan, and Southern Mississippi, and Ohio yet.

But more on those games next time. For now, let's take a look at the final four bowls of 2006 before moving into next year's over the weekend.

Meineke Car Care Bowl
Navy accepted their bid early, prior to even getting to six wins. They were guaranteed a spot here and they draw Boston College which should make this one of the more interesting bowl games of the year that doesn't have the letters BCS attached to it. It is no secret that Navy runs the ball, a lot. They average over 300 yards on the ground a game. This will test the Boston College defense which has been very good this season at stopping the run, averaging less than 100 yards surrendered per game. Of course, the Navy triple option isn't like any rushing attach that BC has seen all year. It will be interesting to see if Navy can manage to stretch out that Golden Eagle defense and wear them down. For it's part, Navy will have a hard time dealing with the more athletic offense of BC. Matt Ryan has been consistent all year long at quarterback and should be able to find ways to pick apart the Midshipmen defense. Navy has a chance should they be able to wear down the BC defense, but don't expect points to come easily to the Midshipmen.

MRI Predicts: Boston College Confidence factor: 77.44%, 20 out of 32

Alamo Bowl
We all know Colt McCoy now. He has definitely proven that he can take over for Vince Young, and it won't be long before Texas is challenging again for the National Title. They may have had their chance this year had McCoy not gotten hurt against Kansas State, and then, still hobbled by the first injury, gotten hurt again against Texas A&M. The Longhorns lost those final two games to miss a shot at the Big XII title, but now with almost a month to recover, McCoy should be ready for the bowl game. He better be at least, because his backup, Jevan Snead, has decided to transfer and won't be available. With all the weapons on offense for the Longhorns (Limas Sweed, Jamaal Charles, Selvin Young, et al), Iowa's defense will be severely tested, especially with the loss of linebacker Mike Klinkenborg for the game. Injuries have plagued Iowa all season long and they have struggled to get a consistent offense together. That will make it even more difficult against what is a very good Texas defense, even if in general, the squad is down from last season. Defensive backs Aaron Ross and Michael Griffin will be put to the test by Hawkeye quarterback Drew Tate, but should come away with at least one interception on the day, probably a three-pack. Texas is the much better team this season and they should be able to walk away easily with this one, especially with the game in Texas.

MRI Predicts: Texas Confidence factor: 95.42%, 32 out of 32

Chick-Fil-A Bowl
If you are cheating and looking ahead to the pick, you might be surprised at how close this one looks by the MRI numbers. Part of that is giving Georgia the benefit of the doubt for playing in Atlanta with this one. Of course, I have seen Virginia Tech play in Atlanta before, and they are not going to be intimidated by a few fans from the various Peachtree roadways in the area. There is very little to intimidate them on the field either. The Georgia offense has struggled hugely this season, mostly because of the loss of a string of quarterbacks with a great deal more experience for the Bulldogs. Virginia Tech, meanwhile, has one of the best defenses in the country and shouldn't have any trouble stopping Matt Stafford, Kregg Lumpkin, and the rest of the Georgia offense. By the end of the season, Virginia Tech was playing the best football in the ACC, and if it hadn't been for two early losses in conference, they would be playing in the Orange Bowl a little later on this bowl season. Sean Glennon isn't a flashy QB with the last name of Vick, but he should be able to do enough with the help of fabulous sophomore Branden Ore at running back to make some waves in this game. This one might be over early with the Hokies just needed to hold on with defense to clinch the win. As a side bet, the over/under on blocked kicks in this one should be around 2.5.

MRI Predicts: Virginia Tech Confidence factor: 53.01%, 7 out of 32

MPC Computers Bowl
From what is probably the best team in the ACC right now to the team that probably needs the most help right now. The Miami Hurricanes enter their bowl game with a lot of issues to solve over the winter and spring before next year. They recently hired their defensive coordinator Randy Shannon as the head coach to replace Larry Coker who will be leaving after the bowl game. Shannon's first order of business will be to find someone who can revive what has been a pitiful offense for the Hurricanes. It is pretty bad when you only give up only 15 points per game but can't win more than six of them. The Nevada defense isn't the strongest unit in the country but can apply some pressure and will take the ball away, finishing +13 in turnover margin. Holding onto the ball has been a trouble spot for Miami, and that could be a major factor in this game. For Nevada, they will likely have to concentrate on passing the ball as Miami has one of the best front seven in the nation. Quarterback Jeff Rowe probably won't be used to all of the weight on his shoulders, but being one of the veterans on the Wolfpack offense should help him. Assuming that Nevada can get anything going with the run game should help out the passing attack. This one is a tough call as with Shannon still on the sideline next year, the Miami players can't take this one off. And the game is in WAC country at Boise State, and Nevada is used to playing there. Miami fans might not travel as well either because no one wants to go to Boise in the middle of December when you live in South Florida. The computer gives this one to the Wolfpack and I think that is probably the safe bet, but I won't be surprised if Miami can put one together for their outgoing coach.

MRI Predicts: Nevada Confidence factor: 71.60%, 12 out of 32

Ben Miraski writes for MRISports.com and is a featured blogger on FanIQ. Readers can contact Ben at bmiraski@mrisports.com

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December 28, 2006

2006 Bowl Predictions - Part 4

Things we have learned this Bowl Season so far: Florida State does have an offense, there are too many bowl games, Colt Brennan can really really throw the ball, there are too many bowl games, BYU was overlooked by too many people this year, and did I mention there were too many bowl games?

The bowl season thunders on. By the end of the day though, we will have only scratched the surface still. There will be 12 bowl games complete, with 20 more to go. That also means that I am way behind on the bowl previews. So for your reading pleasure, some more 1 minute analysis on each game upcoming.

Music City Bowl
Clemson was the trendy pick at the start of the year to win the ACC crown. For a while it looked like they might until they stumbled badly down the home stretch. Kentucky was, in contrast, left for dead in the SEC East, but managed to do nicely, getting back to a bowl game for the first time since 1999 and will be looking for their first bowl win since 1984. The Clemson offense features a strong rushing attack of CJ Spiller and James Davis which should be of great use against a very soft Kentucky defense. If the two don't combine for 200 yards in the game, it will be a miracle. Kentucky's quarterback Andre Woodson will have his hands full with the Clemson defense including Gaines Adams on the defensive line. The only hope for Kentucky may be winning the turnover battle, and winning it big. Clemson should be able to overcome a few mistakes and take this one home.

MRI Predicts: Clemson Confidence factor: 76.58%, 29 out of 32

Sun Bowl
CBS draws the But Sun Bowl each year, and it will be interesting to see if what seems like the only two HD cameras that the station has can make it to El Paso for the game. Oregon State has had one roller coaster of a year. They were left for dead after being stomped by Boise State and Cal. And yet, they managed to turn it around and beat what was an undefeated USC team. They closed the season winning seven of their last 8 to get to 9-4 entering the bowl. Missouri's season has gone the other direction. After opening 6-0, they managed only two wins the rest of the way, making what was one of the great stories of the year, another ho hum event. Both offenses should be able to move the ball against the other, but Missouri will need a big, and clean, game from quarterback Chase Daniel if they are going to take this one. Neither team is going to be flashy, but they will get it done. Rumor is that Missouri has a flu bug running through it right now, which could give the slight edge to Oregon State in this one. The computer likes the Tigers, but this is one where I disagree.

MRI Predicts: Missouri Confidence factor: 71.60%, 13 out of 32

Liberty Bowl
South Carolina was supposed to be my team this year (after Arkansas, who I will still take all the props I can get for picking them to win the SEC West). I thought Steve Spurrier finally had this one figured out, putting together an offense to complement his very good defense. Blake Mitchell definitely looked at the end of last season like he was the quarterback that was going to do that, after he learned the Spurrier system better. That didn't happen. South Carolina stumbles into the Liberty Bowl, still without the dominant offense everyone was expecting, although the defense played well throughout the season. They take on Houston, who has no offensive problems at all. The Cougars, champions of Conference USA, put up 455 yards of offense per game, which was the 6th best number in the country. They rely not only on the arm of Kevin Kolb who got some early talk for the Heisman trophy, but also the dual headed running attack of Anthony Alridge and Jackie Battle. That offense will definitely be tested against the Gamecock defense, although if the running game can get going, that will sure help Kolb's time in the pocket. Look for some offense to come in this one, and hopefully not a one-sided affair.

MRI Predicts: Houston Confidence factor: 77.44%, 21 out of 32

Insight Bowl
Minnesota almost lost to North Dakota State. Yes, the team that is giving the state of Wisconsin fits in basketball almost beat Minnesota in Minnesota. The Gophers have given up over 3000 yards through the air this year, which is not good when you consider that Texas Tech features an almost entirely air-based attack. Graham Harrell had over 4000 yards passing this year and threw for 36 touchdowns. Don't expect that to slow down any when the Red Raiders take the field in Tempe. Minnesota's only hope is to somehow turn their +16 turnover number to work for them and get something, anything, moving on the ground. It won't be easy, but it is possible especially late in the game if the Gophers can keep it close.

MRI Predicts: Texas Tech Confidence factor: 55.02%, 6 out of 32

Champs Sports Bowl
I said earlier this season that I thought that Maryland was the most overrated 8 win team in the country. Then they started losing and proving me correct. Purdue was never overrated and still won 8 of their 13 games. So, the night ends in Orlando with two teams who both won eight games and didn't impress anyone in the country. Should be a fun one to watch. Maryland barely has an offense to speak of, and that should be good news for Purdue who barely has what you could call a defense to put on the field. Anthony Spencer is the best of the bunch on the Purdue defense and should be the primary focus of containment for the Maryland offensive line. Don't look for too much excitement here folks. The computer give Purdue a slight edge here in what is the second closest game on paper in the bowl season. If I could make this one at all exciting I would try... Well, it is in Orlando... Maybe Mickey Mouse will show up.

MRI Predicts: Purdue Confidence factor: 55.02%, 2 out of 32

Ben Miraski writes for MRISports.com and is a featured blogger on FanIQ. Readers can contact Ben at bmiraski@mrisports.com

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December 25, 2006

The MRI vs. The World - Update #1

The MRI got off to a good start, thanks to the picking of a couple of upsets, including the San Jose State victory over New Mexico on the Wolfpack's home field. It is anything but over with so many games remaining on this year's bowl schedule, although watching some of these games has proven to be much more difficult than last year. There are only so many 30 point blow outs that one can stomach.

Updated Standings:
1. Darin Darst, 6-1, 86%
1. The Schwab, 6-1, 86%
3. The MRI, 5-2, 71%
3. Dennis Dodd, 5-2, 71%
3. Congrove Computer, 5-2, 71%
3. The World, 5-2, 71%
7. Harmon Predictor, 4-3, 57%

More predictions for your enjoyment.

Motor City Bowl
Central Michigan: The MRI, Darst, Dodd, Harmon, Schwab, Congrove, The World

Middle Tennessee State: None

Emerald Bowl
UCLA: The MRI, Darst, Dodd, Harmon, Congrove, The World

Florida State: Schwab

Independence Bowl
Oklahoma State: The MRI, Darst, Dodd, Harmon, Schwab, The World

Alabama: Congrove

Holiday Bowl
Cal: The MRI, Darst, Harmon, Schwab, Congrove, The World

Texas A&M: Dodd

Texas Bowl
Rutgers: The MRI, Darst, Dodd, Harmon, Scwab, Congrove, The World

Kansas State: None

Music City Bowl
Clemson: The MRI, Darst, Harmon, Congrove, The World

Kentucky: Dodd, Schwab

Sun Bowl
Missouri: The MRI, Congrove

Oregon State: Darst, Dodd, Harmon, Schwab, The World

Liberty Bowl
Houston: The MRI, Darst

South Carolina: Dodd, Harmon, Schwab, Congrove, The World

Insight Bowl
Texas Tech: The MRI, Darst, Dodd, Harmon, Schwab, Congrove, The World

Minnesota: None

Champs Sports Bowl
Purdue: The MRI, Schwab, Congrove

Maryland: Darst, Dodd, Harmon, The World

Ben Miraski writes for MRISports.com and is a featured blogger on FanIQ. Readers can contact Ben at bmiraski@mrisports.com

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December 24, 2006

2006 Bowl Predictions - Part 3

The MRI is off to a great start, even with the less than interesting games which have been on the slate so far. With two losses on the tally, the MRI has great hope going into the remainder of the bowl season. But enough about me, let's look at some more games, and where the true favorite should be.

Motor City Bowl
I mentioned during the MAC Championship game preview that the winner got a chance to go back to Detroit and play in the Motor City bowl. At least that is normally what happens. Detroit made sure to lock in the best and most surprising team in the MAC before the championship game was even played. Dan LeFevour, the fabulous freshman quarterback was a big reason for the Chippewa success this year, and a return to Detroit should not be any difference. Central Michigan drew Middle Tennessee State in the bowl. This is the first bowl appearance for the Blue Raiders, and their loss to Sun Belt Conference Champion Troy was the difference between them playing here and playing in New Orleans. They make the bowl based on there not being enough Big Ten teams to fill all of the conference's slots. The Blue Raiders feature a strong defensive line (Erik Walden, Tavares Jones) so Central Michigan may not run away with this game as should be expected. However, the MAC squad is definitely the better team here.

MRI Predicts: Central Michigan Confidence factor: 77.78%, 17 out of 32

Emerald Bowl
Florida State had bigger hopes at the beginning of the year. They were by far the favorite to win their division in the ACC. That didn't happen. They were favored by some to win the conference and go to a BCS bowl. That didn't happen. In a year of tough breaks, including the firing/resignation of their offensive coordinator, Jeff Bowden, the Seminoles needed a pick me up, and that was finishing 6-6 and bowl eligible. Drew Weatherford has already been tabbed as the starter, despite some people thinking a switch to Xavier Lee would now be the correct move. Bobby Bowden was playing it close to the vest on what the plan would be for Lee in the bowl game. UCLA comes in after the biggest game of their season, defeating USC, and keeping the Trojans out of the National Championship game. The duo defensive ends of Justin Hickman and Bruce Davis will likely be in the face of Weatherford all game, which makes his selection to start even more confusing. With the quick defensive line, you would think you would favor the more mobile Lee to start. On offense, the Bruins will be looking to do well with the passing game, although they haven't tabbed their starting quarterback as of yet. Patrick Cowan has been doing well as the starter since replacing Ben Olsen because of injury and played a big part in the win against USC. Both teams have a great rushing defense, and therefore the passing game will be a big part here. I give the edge to UCLA, if only because Florida State's offensive line has been... well, offensive this season and the UCLA pass rush is brutal.

MRI Predicts: UCLA Confidence factor: 55.07%, 3 out of 32

Independence Bowl
Alabama didn't want to be here. Without a head coach, down badly from last season's magical 10-2 season, this was not the Alabama which was expected on the field. Throughout the year, they struggled on offense, especially in the passing game, although the running of Kenneth Darby has been a bright spot for them. Now, they need to deal with a very balanced offense in Oklahoma State. The Cowboys limped into the bowl game with two losses to end the season, but they played Oklahoma very well in their final loss. Oklahoma State also had a big win against Nebraska a few games earlier which is probably their signature win on the year. The Cowboys have shown they can play well against a rushing offense, and that passing attacks can be their undoing. John Parker Wilson will have to do well then for the Crimson Tide if they are going to have a hope in this game. I think, with all the uncertainty in Tuscaloosa, that this one is going for the Cowboys.

MRI Predicts: Oklahoma State Confidence factor: 52.76%, 8 out of 32

Holiday Bowl
Cal has a history in the Holiday Bowl, mostly because they have trouble breaking through and winning the PAC-10. And unfortunately for Cal, the history isn't good. Their last appearance here came on the heels of a 10-1 season back in 2004 when some lobbying by Mack Brown kept the Bears out of the Rose Bowl. Cal laid an egg against Texas Tech. Cal was picked to win the PAC-10 this season in some outlets (including MRISports.com), but some inconsistent play and some surprising wins by the USC, kept the Bears from passing the Trojans this season. Now, back again in the Holiday Bowl, they get Texas A&M to try and earn some revenge against. The Bears will bring their attack of Nate Longshore, Marshawn Lynch, and DeSean Jackson to San Diego for this one. Against a pretty good Texas A&M defense, they will need to mix it up often to move the ball. Don't forget that the Aggies were able to stop what had been a very good Texas offense, even if Colt McCoy was beat up a little headed into (and out of) the game. The Aggies cause turnovers, and that could be the difference for them in this game. Even with Jorvorskie Lane and Stephen McGee on the side of the Aggies, I think Cal has too many weapons, and even if the Holiday Bowl is not where they would want to be, I think they can win.

MRI Predicts: Cal Confidence factor: 71.60%, 11 out of 32

Texas Bowl
If the Big East wants to prove that it wasn't just a league that was overrated, this is the first chance to really show it. They already have one win by South Florida, but it came against East Carolina. Now Rutgers gets their chance to play a team from another BCS conference and help the Big East gain some more respect. In what has been a dream season by the Scarlet Knights, they can finish with 11 wins for only the second time ever in the history of the school, a history that includes the first football game ever played at the college level. Behind Mike Teel and Ray Rice, the boys from Piscataway have been the talk of the Northeast all season long. Kansas State shouldn't be an issue for the Scarlet Knights, although they do have a pretty intense pass rush. Josh Freeman is the young starter for the Wildcats and his play could mean the difference between this being a blow out or a classic close game. Rutgers has too much to play for here, and needs to truly assert that it has arrived as an elite program. Look for New Jersey to be celebrating once more this season.

MRI Predicts: Rutgers Confidence factor: 76.58%, 28 out of 32

Ben Miraski writes for MRISports.com and is a featured blogger on FanIQ. Readers can contact Ben at bmiraski@mrisports.com

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December 20, 2006

2006 Bowl Predictions - Part 2

With the Poinsettia Bowl under wraps for another season, it is good to know that the MRI will not go winless this year. TCU and what I will from now on call their "Sea of Purple" defense made Northern Illinois look like a high school team. Garrett Wolfe was unable to make any impact and I think that Dan Nicholson spent more time on his back than he did throwing the ball. As one astute fan commented during the game, it is never a good sign when the quarterback has grass stains on the top of his shoulder pads.

Everyone, except for Desmond Howard, picked the Horned Frogs to win last night, which means that everyone got off on the right foot. Here's hoping that this trend will not continue.

For your enjoyment today, more bowl previews, taking us through Christmas Day.

Pioneer PureVision Las Vegas Bowl
The award for longest bowl name almost goes to this game if it weren't for the Armed Forces Bowl. More on that game later. Las Vegas welcomes BYU and Oregon to play in this year's game. BYU will have the more dominant offense here, with John Beck at quarterback, and Curtis Brown at running back. The duo have a chance to get to 3000 yards passing and 1000 yards rushing for the second time as a pair. Beck was the offensive player of the year in the Mountain West conference and is probably the best quarterback that no one talks about. He should be able to move the ball, even against the good Oregon pass defense. He will take advantage of short passes to Jonny Harline and with some running help, they will score. Oregon probably wins the battle for best accommodations at the bowl, scoring rooms at the Venetian (sweet suites). However, that will be all they will be winning. The Ducks haven't been the same since defeating Oklahoma on some very questionable calls. It was almost as if that was the gift for them this season. They finished 4-5 in the PAC-10, including three straight losses to end the season. They will need to get Jonathan Stewart going if they are going to have a chance at winning. After a strong start, he tailed off near the end of the season.
MRI Predicts: BYU Confidence Factor: 65.36%, 27 out of 32

New Orleans Bowl
The Sugar Bowl-lite. This bowl is the warm-up for all the people involved in putting on the big BCS game. Look for both teams to air it out in this one. Rice will be passing to multiple All-American Jarett Dillard who had 20 touchdown receptions this season and has the second longest streak in history of games with a touchdown catch with 14. Troy will be throwing the ball on the arm of SunBelt Player of the Year, Omar Haugabook. Haugabook finished with over 2000 yards passing and 17 touchdowns, although he threw 16 picks also. Neither team has a punishing defense so look for this to be a high scoring affair in the dome. Rice hasn't been to a bowl since 1961 so they have a little more motivation in this one.
MRI Predicts: Rice Confidence factor: 52.47%, 9 out of 32

Papajohns.com Bowl
East Carolina and South Florida meet in this one. South Florida should be looked at as the headliner here. Remember that they beat West Virginia to keep the Mountaineers out of the race for the Big East title. Matt Grothe is their outstanding freshman quarterback, and picked up the freshman player of the year in the conference. The Bulls also had two defensive starters on the first team all conference, including Stephen Nicholas and Trae Williams. Williams had 7 interceptions on the season and is currently second on the all-time list at South Florida. Turnovers could be the key in this game as neither team is very adept at holding onto the ball.
MRI Predicts: South Florida Confidence factor: 52.47%, 10 out of 32

New Mexico Bowl
New Mexico grabs what amounts to a home game against the surprising San Jose State Spartans in this one. It is amazing that the Spartans made it here. This was a program that almost went away due to money issues and very poor facilities. If you haven't been to the SJ State stadium, trust me, you aren't missing much. With the home field advantage and also a strong rushing game, New Mexico should run over the Spartans. San Jose State hasn't been to a bowl since 1990... The Raisin Bowl. New Mexico has much more bowling experience here, and that combined with the tougher offense should give them the edge. However, my computer disagrees. Who knew?
MRI Predicts: San Jose State Confidence factor: 55.07%, 4 out of 32

Bell Helicopter Armed Force Bowl
This game will be all about defense as the two teams sport their respective conferences' Defensive Players of the Year. Tulsa sports linebacker Nick Bunting, who finished with 65 tackles, 2 sacks, and 4.5 tackles for loss. He was also joined on the Conference USA first team by two other Tulsa defensive players, Robert Latu, and Bobby Blackshire. Tulsa had the top defense in Conference USA this season. Utah brings out defensive back Eric Weddle, who won his conference's honor for the second straight season. Weddle had the most interceptions in conference was and was 10th overall in the nation with six. Tulsa boasts the better offense of the two teams, and therefore should test the Utes defense more.
MRI Predicts: Tulsa Confidence factor: 77.78%, 19 out of 32

Hawaii Bowl
Once again, Hawaii welcomes in another team for their annual celebration of a 14th game. This has got to be the greatest scam in the history of sports, hosting your own bowl game. Especially this season, when Hawaii finished second in the WAC and could have gone to the fabulous MPC Computers Bowl. Ok, yeah, that is the one held in Boise, so maybe Hawaii made the right choice. They bring in Arizona State to be their victim this time. No team has done more this season to self destruct and it is a miracle that they managed to win 7 games with all of the distractions they brought to themselves. And next year, they get the pleasure of Dennis Erickson as their coach, a year after he committed to bring back Idaho to prominence. Idaho, the team that finished 4-8 and was trounced, beat up, and crushed by this Hawaii team, 68-10. Arizona State's only hope is to beat Hawaii in a shootout, much like Oregon State did in the final game of the season. Hawaii though can score at will with Colt Brennan at quarterback. This one goes to Hawaii in grand style.
MRI Predicts: Hawaii Confidence factor:73.88%, 31 out of 32

Ben Miraski writes for MRISports.com and is a featured blogger on FanIQ. Readers can contact Ben at bmiraski@mrisports.com

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December 19, 2006

The MRI vs. The World... Again

With bowl season upon us, it is time for the MRI to take on the World again. In past years, we have tied Trev Alberts, lost to Dennis Dodd (badly), and been even up with the Harmon Forecast, a computer competitor.

This year, we are going to expand the field, which means no fancy table this year to track the results. That's right, we have a few new entrants this season, including, well, the actual world. How did I manage this? We will be using the Fan Consensus from our friends over at FanIQ as one of the entrants. The team getting the majority of the fan support the pick 'em polls will be "The World"'s selection.

Of course, this makes tracking the results a little difficult with the table. It also make the showing of picks difficult, especially ahead of time. Let's be straight here. The MRI will not change its picks. They will be set in stone once the Poinsettia Bowl flips its coin tonight. The only bowl which could likely change according to the computer is the Rose Bowl, which right now leans towards Michigan. USC (with the home field advantage), has a slim possibility of becoming the favorite based on the results of the prior bowl games. But the MRI will stick by its Michigan selection, since our opponents will also.

With that said, off to the picks, at least the first few.

First, the contestants. This year we will again be able to renew the rivalries with Dennis Dodd, The Schwab, and the Harmon Forecast. In addition, the MRI will take on "The World" as I mentioned. It will also face off against Darin Darst, also of CBS Sportsline, and one of the better selectors during the college football season. We will also add another computer, the Congrove Computer.

Links to the selections can be found here:

• CBS Sportsline Affiliated: Darin Darst, Dennis Dodd, and the Harmon Forecast


• ESPN: The Schwab


• Computer Challenger: Congrove Computer


• The World

For each bowl, we will list the MRI's pick with the helmet of the team. We will then list the challengers who picked each of the teams (World picks will be updated daily as they are finalized). Good luck to all (except Dennis Dodd, who had a sick 18 wins last season).

Poinsettia Bowl
TCU: The MRI, Darst, Dodd, Harmon, Schwab, Congrove, The World

Northern Illinois: None

Las Vegas Bowl
BYU: The MRI, Darst, Dodd, Harmon, Schwab, Congrove, The World

Oregon: None

New Orleans Bowl
Rice: The MRI, Darst, Dodd, Harmon, Congrove, The World

Troy: Schwab

Papajohns.com Bowl
South Florida: The MRI, Darst, Dodd, Harmon, Schwab, Congrove, The World

East Carolina: None

New Mexico Bowl
New Mexico: Dodd, Harmon, Scwab, Congrove, The World

San Jose State: Darst, The MRI

Bell Helicopter Armed Forces Bowl (formerly the Fort Worth Bowl)
Tulsa: The MRI, Harmon

Utah: Darst, Dodd, Scwab, Congrove, The World

Hawaii Bowl
Hawaii: The MRI, Darst, Dodd, Harmon, Schwab, Congrove, The World

Arizona State: None

Ben Miraski writes for MRISports.com and is a featured blogger on FanIQ. Readers can contact Ben at bmiraski@mrisports.com

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2006 Bowl Predictions - Part 1

The title is actually semi-humorous as I think about it. With the addition of a few more games this year to the bowl season, it actually feels like I will have to make 2006 bowl predictions before the end of football this year. But it is really only 32. The whole thing kicks off tonight with the Poinsettia Bowl. Note to the players: Keep the plant you get away from your house pets... assuming you like your house pets.

The game features TCU and Northern Illinois. Be lucky Army didn't win six games or you would have them instead of the Huskies here. In case you forgot, the Black Knights made a deal with this bowl at the beginning of the season that if they reached the magic six, they would be headed to San Diego. No one really thought it would happen. Army finished at 3-9 and will be watching the game on television.

TCU and Northern Illinois didn't think they would be here either. Both had higher aspirations as the season took off.

TCU was tabbed as the BCS buster this year. They were expected to go undefeated and represent the Mountain West conference in the BCS bowls. Two straight losses to BYU and Utah early in the season didn't allow that to happen. They didn't even get to win the conference, and so are headed to San Diego.

Northern Illinois faced a similar path. On the legs of Garrett Wolfe, they were expected to run through the MAC, but three losses in conference kept them from the MAC title game. The Huskies were also unable to pull off upsets against Ohio State or Iowa, which left them short of the high expectations. Wolfe, who did manage to lead the country in total rushing yardage, also fell short as the year went on, having four games in a row where he failed to reach even 70 yards on the ground after his explosive start.

And Wolfe will be the key in this game against the Horned Frogs. TCU only surrendered 68 yards a game on the ground this season. Even in their two losses, the Horned Frogs held the opposing team to less than 100. Therefore, it will be important for Wolfe to get off to a good start if they hope to have his quarterback, Dan Nicholson, off to a good game. Nicholson was forced into action when Phil Horvath went down with a season ending knee injury. He threw for 377 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions over the final two games of the year. Therefore, with a backup in the game, they will need Wolfe.

TCU is a little more lucky. They will have the ability to open up their entire offense against Northern Illinois, including quarterback Jeff Ballard, who was named TCU's MVP for the second time in his career. Ballard is 18-2 as a starter for the Horned Frogs. He has thrown for over 2000 yards this season with only 5 interceptions to 12 touchdowns. On the running side, TCU has Aaron Brown and Lonta Hobbs to split carries.

In the spirit of equal time, on the defense, look for two people. First, watch Larry English as the end on the Huskie line. He was the team leader in sacks with 11 and was a first team All-MAC selection. With Ballard likely throwing the ball often (as did the teams which beat the Huskies this year), English will have a chance to add to that mark, or at least will be a factor in what happens to the TCU passing game. On the TCU side, watch senior safety Marvin White. With Northern Illinois likely having to go to a passing based offense against the very good Horned Frog defense, White will have a chance to add to his 4 interceptions this year. He was a first team All-Mountain West selection.

TCU is the more talented team here, even adding in Garrett Wolfe. This one should definitely be going their way.

MRI Predicts: TCU Confidence Factor: 65.36%, 24 out of 32

Ben Miraski writes for MRISports.com and is a featured blogger on FanIQ. Readers can contact Ben at bmiraski@mrisports.com

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November 26, 2006

BCS Bowl Picture

I don't know if things are now more clear or more muddy in terms of the BCS bowl picture after this weekend. With ten spots and four of them pretty much guaranteed at this point, there is a great deal of shuffling which can still take place. If you look at what could be the projected standings and think about what the organizers of the four big games want you can take a shot at projecting the BCS bowls at this point. And that is without the championship games being played.

In order to do that though, you need some assumptions.

First, you need to look at who can win the conference championships:

ACC: Georgia Tech, Wake Forest
Big East: Louisville, Rutgers
Big 12: Nebraska, Oklahoma
SEC: Arkansas, Florida

Earlier in the week, the BCS bowls announced who was still in contention for at large bid consideration:

Auburn, Boise State, California, LSU, Michigan, Notre Dame, Virginia Tech

Those announcements were prior to this week's games. I don't think that any of those teams did anything this week to knock them off that list. In addition, I don't think that West Virginia or Texas would be considered at this point after their losses this weekend, so I am not adding them to the list.

Second, you have to know the bowl selection order. The Rose Bowl, which will lose Ohio State, will have a replacement selection first. If USC is the #2 team, the Rose Bowl will get two selections to start and essentially get whoever they want in Pasadena. The second selection is the Sugar Bowl, followed by the Orange, and the Fiesta.

Third, you have to assume something about the losers of the championship games. I don't think the ACC is going to get their loser into the mix based on the perceived strength of the conference. Virginia Tech probably has the second worst at-large chance right now and if they aren't close, given the way they have played lately, a losing Georgia Tech or Wake Forest isn't going to get a long look. The Big XII loser will have at least three losses. I think Oklahoma will still get a long look based on the knowledge that one of those losses was to Oregon thanks to replay. However, losing to Nebraska wouldn't help their cause. Nebraska would have no shot to be selected. In the SEC, Florida would still be looked at for an at-large bid should they lose, but Arkansas probably took themselves out of contention for that because of their loss to LSU.

So with those assumptions, here is how I see the BCS bowls shaking out.

National Championship: Ohio State vs. USC - After USC's win, this is a gimmee. Unless UCLA pulls a major upset, then I don't see this changing. USC should be moving into the #2 spot overall in the BCS when the ratings are released, and they will not fall unless they lose that last game.

Rose Bowl: Michigan vs. Notre Dame - I will hate to see the rematch, but I bet it happens. The Rose Bowl would get two replacement picks as soon as the National Championship game is set. There is no doubt they would take Michigan, and the flashiest school they would be allowed to pick would be Notre Dame. Notre Dame would be returning to the Rose Bowl (Yes, returning. It wasn't obligated to pick Big Ten - USC until the 40s. Even Duke played in the Rose Bowl twice) for the first time since the 20s. I don't think they could say no to that scenario, knowing how big a rivalry this is and how many fans would travel for that game.

Sugar Bowl: Florida vs. Louisville - The Sugar Bowl gets first pick after the Rose "replacement" picks. Let's assume that Florida wins the SEC championship game. I am guessing the bowl doesn't want a rematch of two SEC teams, and therefore will take the Big East champion, which now looks like it might be Louisville. If Rutgers wins the Big East, I am guessing they may still take Louisville as they will see it as a better choice than Rutgers. In that case, LSU will lose a BCS spot. There is still always the possibility, that there will be some wrangling and ND will get moved here by all the bowl operators to play Florida and that an LSU would still be alive for chance in the Rose Bowl. I think it will be hard to pry Notre Dame out of the Rose Bowl's talons though.

Orange Bowl: Georgia Tech vs. LSU - Despite Reggie Ball's play against Georgia, I am going to say that Georgia Tech takes out Wake Forest. The Orange Bowl gets the second pick to fill their bowl. I am going to say they pass over Boise State. No one wants to be the bowl that has to take them, and since the Rose will most likely take Notre Dame, the Orange loses what I think would be their first choice. It kind of stinks for Notre Dame that every big bowl would try to place them against a team they already have played. I am thinking that the Orange will take a chance on LSU assuming they can. If Louisville wins the Big East, this is LSU. If Rutgers wins the Big East, the Scarlet Knights come to town.

Fiesta Bowl: Oklahoma vs. Boise State - Every time a non-auto qualifier makes it, it seems that the Fiesta Bowl gets stuck with them. Last time was Utah, and they destroyed Pittsburgh. This time it is Boise State, and this would actually be a very interesting game between Oklahoma and Boise. I like the match-up and it is closer to Idaho so potentially you will see more Boise fans being able to make the trip. I am still a little leery of picking Oklahoma to win the Big XII championship game. It could be Nebraska. In which case, I somewhat feel bad for the Fiesta Bowl, although it would mean great things for the Nebraska program.

Ben Miraski writes for MRISports.com and is a featured blogger on FanIQ. Readers can contact Ben at bmiraski@mrisports.com

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